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Bulgarian A League

Arda vs Septemvri prediction, tips and odds

Arda, three league games without a win and chasing the top group, host bottom-of-the-table Septemvri, beaten in five straight and conceding two or more in every one
  • open game
  • high stakes
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Bulgarian A League

Our prediction

Arda
6th · 17 pts
FormD, W, L, D, L
Septemvri
13th · 8 pts
FormL, L, L, L, L
Our prediction
1–02.7 goals projected
ARD 58%Draw 26%SEP 16%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Arda come throughOur pickArda
    1.69
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 2.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
ARD 58%Draw 26%SEP 16%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–012%
  • 2–011%
  • 1–111%
Projected goals
2.7
Likeliest at half time
0–030%
Competition goals a game
2.70
Competition matches over 2.5
51%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Arda against Septemvri
StatARDSEPTotal
GoalsLeague 1.351.780.882.7

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
ArdaD, W, L, D, L
SeptemvriL, L, L, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendARDSEP
Over 2.5 goals3/54/5
Both teams scored4/53/5
Clean sheets0/50/5
Failed to score1/52/5

Match context

Form
Arda: D-W-L-D-L (1-1 Levski, 2-1 cup win at Spartak Plovdiv, 0-5 at Ludogorets, 1-1 Cherno More, 1-4 at CSKA Sofia), scoring but leaky at home; Septemvri: five straight losses, conceding 2+ in each (0-2 Cherno More, 1-2 aet cup, 2-3 Dunav, 0-3 Botev Plovdiv, 1-2 Ludogorets).
The competition
Bulgarian First Professional League (Parva Liga), regular-season Game Week 14, single league match at Arena Arda. From the table on file Arda sit 6th (P11, 17 pts) and Septemvri 13th (P11, 8 pts) in a 14-team league; results pages since then show Arda on ~18 pts from 12 and Septemvri on 8 from 12, last, with five straight defeats. Arda are chasing the top group, Septemvri fighting to avoid the bottom; no knock-out leg.

Team news

Arda

No absences reported.

Septemvri

No absences reported.

Bulgarian A League table and leaders

Bulgarian A League standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Levski Sofia10—28
2CSKA Sofia11—27
3Ludogorets Razgrad10—26
4CSKA 194811—22
5Botev Plovdiv11—19
6Arda Kardzhali11—17

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Joël ZwartsCSKA Sofia8 goals
  2. 2Rwan CruzLudogorets Razgrad6 goals
  3. 3Ioannis PittasCSKA Sofia6 goals

FBref and OddAlerts Bulgarian First League 2026/27, as of ~25 Oct 2026; assists and clean-sheet boards only partly surfaced

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Arda vs Septemvri prediction?

We project 1–0. The bookmakers' own prices imply Arda 58%, the draw 26% and Septemvri 16%.

What is the best bet for Arda vs Septemvri?

Our tip is Full time result · Arda at 1.69. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Arda vs Septemvri kick off?

Arda vs Septemvri kicks off at Mon 17:30 in the Bulgarian A League.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.