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Brazilian Serie A

Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro MG prediction, tips and odds

Cruzeiro, chasing top spot in third, visit an Atlético-MG side three days after a 2-3 defeat at Flamengo, with both clubs needing points for continental qualification.
  • high stakes
  • no strong shape
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Brazilian Serie A

Our prediction

Atletico MG
11th · 48 pts
FormL, L, W, W, D
Cruzeiro MG
3rd · 70 pts
FormW, W, L, W, W
Our prediction
1–12.8 goals projected
ATL 41%Draw 25%CRU 34%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Atletico MG keep it closeOur pickAtletico MG starts 1 goal ahead
    1.27
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 2.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
ATL 41%Draw 25%CRU 34%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 1–09%
  • 2–19%
Projected goals
2.8
Likeliest at half time
0–028%
Competition goals a game
2.52
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Atletico MG against Cruzeiro MG
StatATLCRUTotal
GoalsLeague 1.331.491.322.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Atletico MGL, L, W, W, D
Cruzeiro MGW, W, L, W, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendATLCRU
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored3/53/5
Clean sheets1/52/5
Failed to score1/50/5

Match context

Form
Atlético-MG: W2 D1 L2 in last five across all comps (1-0 Coritiba, 2-1 Santos at home; 2-3 at Flamengo, 0-2 at Torque). Cruzeiro: W4 L1 — 1-0 Remo, 4-2 at Grêmio, 2-0 São Paulo, 3-1 at Vitória, only loss 2-4 at Bragantino.
The competition
Brazilian Serie A, Matchweek 33 of the league season (single round, no knockout leg). Cruzeiro sit 3rd (70 pts in the 38-game record on file; 54 pts after 32 rounds in late Oct) chasing a Libertadores place and possibly top spot, while Atlético-MG (11th on the record, 48 pts, but 6th in the current table) are battling for a continental qualifying spot. Both have something to play for; not a dead rubber.

Team news

Atletico MG

No absences reported.

Cruzeiro MG

No absences reported.

Brazilian Serie A table and leaders

Brazilian Serie A standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Flamengo38—79
2Palmeiras38—76
3Cruzeiro38—70
4Mirassol38—67
5Fluminense38—64
6Botafogo38—63

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Kaio JorgeCruzeiro21 goals
  2. 2Giorgian de ArrascaetaFlamengo18 goals
  3. 3Vitor RoquePalmeiras16 goals
  4. 4VegettiVasco da Gama14 goals
  5. 5RayanVasco da Gama14 goals
  6. 6ReinaldoMirassol13 goals

Table & 2.52 goals/game from ogol.com.br/VEJA/Sporting News/CBF; leaderboards from ge.globo, Itatiaia/CNN and FBref/Tribuna

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro MG prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Atletico MG 41%, the draw 25% and Cruzeiro MG 34%.

What is the best bet for Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro MG?

Our tip is Atletico MG starts 1 goal ahead at 1.27.

What time does Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro MG kick off?

Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro MG kicks off at Thu 22:30 in the Brazilian Serie A.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.