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Portuguese Primeira Liga

Benfica vs Alverca prediction, tips and odds

Benfica, five straight wins and 3+ goals in four of them, host an Alverca side that has just lost to Arouca and exited the cup.
  • goals fest
  • one sided
  • high ceiling
  • league
  • Benfica: high
  • Alverca: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our prediction

Benfica
3rd · 80 pts
FormW, W, W, W, W
Alverca
11th · 39 pts
FormL, L, W, W, W
Our prediction
2–03.4 goals projected
BEN 84%Draw 11%ALV 5%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
1–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Benfica come throughOur pickBenfica
    1.18
  • A quiet first halfOur pickUnder 2.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
BEN 84%Draw 11%ALV 5%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 2–013%
  • 3–013%
  • 1–09%
Projected goals
3.4
Likeliest at half time
1–028%
Competition goals a game
2.68
Competition matches over 2.5
54%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Benfica against Alverca
StatBENALVTotal
GoalsLeague 1.342.860.563.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
BenficaW, W, W, W, W
AlvercaL, L, W, W, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendBENALV
Over 2.5 goals4/52/5
Both teams scored4/52/5
Clean sheets1/51/5
Failed to score0/52/5

Match context

Form
Benfica have won their last five in all competitions (including 4-1 v Celtic and 2-1 at Santa Clara); Alverca have mixed form — home 0-1 loss to Arouca and a cup exit at Tondela 0-2 after extra time, but 4-1 at Famalicão and 3-1 at Nacional.
The competition
Primeira Liga matchday 10, single league fixture. Benfica sit 2nd (9 played, 22 pts, 26-8), chasing unbeaten leaders Porto; Alverca are mid/lower table and playing for points in the bottom half. No cup or two-leg context.

Team news

Benfica

No absences reported.

Alverca

No absences reported.

Portuguese Primeira Liga table and leaders

Portuguese Primeira Liga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Porto34—88
2Sporting CP34—82
3Benfica34—80
4Braga34—59
5Famalicão34—56
6Gil Vicente34—50

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Luis SuárezSporting CP28 goals
  2. 2Vangelis PavlidisBenfica22 goals
  3. 3Yanis BegraouiEstoril Praia20 goals
  4. 4Jesús RamírezNacional18 goals
  5. 5Rodrigo ZalazarBraga16 goals

worldfootball.net scorers; FBref 2025-26 leaders for assists/clean sheets

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Benfica vs Alverca prediction?

We project 2–0. The bookmakers' own prices imply Benfica 84%, the draw 11% and Alverca 5%.

What is the best bet for Benfica vs Alverca?

Our tip is Full time result · Benfica at 1.18.

What time does Benfica vs Alverca kick off?

Benfica vs Alverca kicks off at Mon 20:15 in the Portuguese Primeira Liga.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.