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Brazilian Serie A

Coritiba vs Gremio prediction, tips and odds

  • league
Kick-off
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Competition
Brazilian Serie A

Our prediction

FormL, D, L, L, D
Gremio
9th · 49 pts
FormL, D, D, L
Our prediction
1–12.5 goals projected
COR 41%Draw 27%GRE 32%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    1.15
  • Gremio keep it closeOur pickGremio starts 2.5 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
COR 41%Draw 27%GRE 32%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–113%
  • 1–011%
  • 0–19%
Projected goals
2.5
Likeliest at half time
0–032%
Competition goals a game
2.52
Competition matches over 2.5
46%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Coritiba against Gremio
StatCORGRETotal
GoalsLeague 1.341.351.162.5

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
CoritibaL, D, L, L, D
GremioL, D, D, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendCORGRE
Over 2.5 goals3/51/4
Both teams scored2/53/4
Clean sheets0/50/4
Failed to score3/51/4

Match context

Form
Coritiba: winless in five (two heavy away losses 0-4 at Fluminense, 0-5 at Vasco) before a 1-1 home draw with Botafogo and 1-0 defeat at Atlético-MG. Grêmio: winless in four (2-4 home to Cruzeiro, 1-1 home to Internacional, 1-1 at Remo, 0-1 at Vitória), leaking goals.
The competition
Brazilian Serie A 2026, league round 32 (Goal.com lists it as Game Week 32) at Couto Pereira — a single leg, not a knockout tie. Both sides sit in mid-table on the 31-round live table: Coritiba 12th (10W-9D-12L, 39 pts) and Grêmio 18th (7W-10D-14L, 31 pts), so Grêmio are playing for survival while Coritiba are comfortable but not out of the relegation picture entirely. Not a dead rubber for Grêmio.

Team news

Coritiba

No absences reported.

Gremio

No absences reported.

Brazilian Serie A table and leaders

Brazilian Serie A standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Flamengo38—79
2Palmeiras38—76
3Cruzeiro38—70
4Mirassol38—67
5Fluminense38—64
6Botafogo38—63

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Kaio JorgeCruzeiro21 goals
  2. 2Giorgian de ArrascaetaFlamengo18 goals
  3. 3Vitor RoquePalmeiras16 goals
  4. 4RayanVasco da Gama14 goals
  5. 5Pablo VegettiVasco da Gama14 goals
  6. 6ReinaldoMirassol13 goals

Table from Wikipedia/FBref/VEJA (final 2025 table); avg goals 959/380=2.52 per CBF & Itatiaia; over-2.5 share 46% from ogol.com.br edition stats

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Coritiba vs Gremio prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Coritiba 41%, the draw 27% and Gremio 32%.

What is the best bet for Coritiba vs Gremio?

Our tip is Full time · Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15.

What time does Coritiba vs Gremio kick off?

Coritiba vs Gremio kicks off at Mon 22:30 in the Brazilian Serie A.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.