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English Sky Bet Championship

Derby vs Norwich prediction, tips and odds

Norwich, with back-to-back wins and no draws in 13 games, visit a Derby side without a win in five and leaking 11 goals in that run
  • both score
  • open game
  • high ceiling
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
English Sky Bet Championship

Our prediction

Derby
23rd · 7 pts
FormL, D, L, L, D
Norwich
15th · 15 pts
FormW, W, L, L, L
Our prediction
1–12.8 goals projected
DER 27%Draw 27%NOR 46%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    1.19
  • A quiet first halfOur pickUnder 2.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
DER 27%Draw 27%NOR 46%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 0–110%
  • 1–29%
Projected goals
2.8
Likeliest at half time
0–029%
Competition goals a game
2.90
Competition matches over 2.5
61%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Derby against Norwich
StatDERNORTotal
Goals1.181.582.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
DerbyL, D, L, L, D
NorwichW, W, L, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendDERNOR
Over 2.5 goals2/53/5
Both teams scored4/53/5
Clean sheets0/50/5
Failed to score1/52/5

Match context

Form
Derby 23rd, no wins in their last five (2D-3L, 4 GF/11 GA, heavy away defeats 1-4 at Millwall and QPR); Norwich 5W-0D-8L overall but back-to-back wins (3-1 at Charlton, 3-2 v Watford) after four straight defeats.
The competition
English second tier (Championship), 2026/27 league round — matchweek 14 at Pride Park. Derby are 23rd with 7 points from 13 (one win) and fighting relegation; Norwich are 15th on 15 points, 5-0-8, having won their last two (3-1 away at Charlton, 3-2 v Watford).

Team news

Derby

No absences reported.

Norwich

No absences reported.

English Sky Bet Championship table

English Sky Bet Championship standings
#ClubPLGDPts
15Norwich City13—15
23Derby County13—7

as read when this competition was last scouted.

More English Sky Bet Championship tips this weekend

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Derby vs Norwich prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Derby 27%, the draw 27% and Norwich 46%.

What is the best bet for Derby vs Norwich?

Our tip is Full time · Under 4.5 Goals at 1.19.

What time does Derby vs Norwich kick off?

Derby vs Norwich kicks off at Tue 19:45 in the English Sky Bet Championship.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.