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Honduras Liga Nacional

Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua prediction, tips and odds

  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Honduras Liga Nacional

Our prediction

Estrella Roja
6th · 16 pts
FormW, D, W, L, L
CD Motagua
3rd · 25 pts
FormW, L, W, D, W
Our prediction
1–12.9 goals projected
EST 25%Draw 27%CD 48%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Estrella Roja come throughOur pickHome or Draw
    1.75
  • Somebody winsOur pickHome or Away
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
EST 25%Draw 27%CD 48%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 1–210%
  • 0–19%
Projected goals
2.9
Likeliest at half time
0–027%
Competition goals a game
2.61
Competition matches over 2.5
48%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Estrella Roja against CD Motagua
StatESTCD Total
Goals1.221.722.9

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Estrella RojaW, D, W, L, L
CD MotaguaW, L, W, D, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendESTCD
Over 2.5 goals3/51/5
Both teams scored3/51/5
Clean sheets0/54/5
Failed to score2/51/5

Match context

Form
Estrella Roja: W 3-1 v Independiente, D 3-3 at Olancho, W 2-1 at Génesis, L 0-1 v Real España, L 0-2 at Choloma. Motagua: W 2-0 v Marathón, L 1-2 at Alajuelense (CAC), W 2-0 v Juticalpa, D 0-0 v Alajuelense (CAC 1st leg), W 2-0 at Platense.
The competition
Honduras Liga Nacional (top flight, tier 2 on the house scale), Torneo Apertura 2026 first-phase round 13. Motagua sit 3rd on 25 pts from 12 and are chasing Olimpia (29)/Real España (27) at the top; Estrella Roja are 6th on 16 pts, level with 5th-placed Olancho, inside the playoff places.

Team news

Estrella Roja

No absences reported.

CD Motagua

No absences reported.

Honduras Liga Nacional table

Honduras Liga Nacional standings
#ClubPLGDPts
6Estrella Roja12—16
3CD Motagua12—25

as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Estrella Roja 25%, the draw 27% and CD Motagua 48%.

What is the best bet for Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua?

Our tip is Home or Draw at 1.75. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua kick off?

Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua kicks off at Wed 23:15 in the Honduras Liga Nacional.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.