FK Riga vs FK Jablonec prediction, tips and odds
Never-met Riga and Jablonec meet with top-24 places on the line, Jablonec without first-choice keeper Hanuš and captain Tekijaški doubtful
- weakened side
- even match
- high stakes
- slow start
- no strong shape
- league
- FK Riga: high
- FK Jablonec: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Conference League
Our prediction
FormD, W, D, W, D
Our prediction
1–13.0 goals projected
FK 40%Draw 28%FK 32%
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
Rating hidden until revealed
- Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals1.32
- FK Riga keep it closeOur pickFK Riga starts 1 goal aheadPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
The market's readNot our model
FK 40%Draw 28%FK 32%
Likeliest scorelines
- 1–111%
- 2–19%
- 1–09%
- Projected goals
- 3.0
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–026%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.48
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 54%
Projected stats
| Stat | FK | FK | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.24 | 1.68 | 1.29 | 3.0 |
| CornersLeague 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.92 | 9.6 |
| Fouls | 14.1 | 12.8 | 26.9 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
Last five
FK RigaD, W, D, W, D
FK JablonecL, W, D, L, L
| Trend | FK | FK |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| Both teams scored | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 2/5 |
Match context
- Form
- Riga FC: DWDWD unbeaten in five — 5-2 at Grobiņa the outlier, otherwise low-scoring (0-0 Ogre, 1-1 Pafos, 1-1 Kairat), and four of those five had a goalless or single-goal first half. Jablonec: LWLDL — beaten 0-5 by Slavia, 0-0 with Brighton, three losses in five, shipping 12 go…
- History
- First-ever competitive meeting: multiple sources (Statarea "No matches found", BadB "No scored head-to-head meetings before 05 Nov 2026", EaglePredict "no recent meeting on record") confirm Riga FC and FK Jablonec have never played. Both are mid-table in the 2026/27 Conference League league phase (Riga 2 draws, 2-2; Jablonec 1 draw 1 loss, 2-3), so this is a near-equals tie between a Latvian champion-level club (4x Virslīga winners, 2nd in 2026 Virslīga) and a Czech top-flight side. No history…
- The competition
- UEFA Conference League 2026/27 league phase, Matchday 3 (new single-table format, 36 teams). Riga FC sit 20th on 2 pts from 2 (0-0 style: two draws, 2 goals for/2 against — a 1-1 at home to Kairat and 1-1 at Pafos), while Jablonec are 24th on 1 pt from 2 (a 3-2 loss at Freiburg, then 0-0 at home to Brighton). Both are in the bottom half of the 36-team table, with the top 8 going straight through and places 9-24 into a play-off round: for these two, every point is about staying inside the top-24…
Team news
FK Riga
No absences reported.
FK Jablonec
- Jan Hanuš — out (gk)
- Nemanja Tekijaški — doubtful (def)
UEFA Conference League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | — | 16 |
| 2 | Raków Częstochowa | 6 | — | 14 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 6 | — | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 6 | — | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | — | 13 |
| 6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | — | 13 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Ismaïla SarrCrystal Palace9 goals
- 2Marius MouandilmadjiSamsunspor8 goals
- 3Mikael IshakLech Poznań8 goals
- 4Sven MijnansAZ Alkmaar6 goals
- 5Toni FrukRijeka5 goals
- 1Carlo HolseSamsunspor5 assists
- 2Kees SmitAZ Alkmaar5 assists
- 3Julio EncisoStrasbourg4 assists
- 4Daichi KamadaCrystal Palace4 assists
- 5Kauã EliasShakhtar Donetsk4 assists
- 1Mainz 056 clean sheets
- 2AEK Larnaca6 clean sheets
- 3Samsunspor6 clean sheets
- 4Crystal Palace6 clean sheets
- 5AZ Alkmaar6 clean sheets
UEFA.com season stats, Wikipedia league-phase table, GoalStatsLab totals
More UEFA Conference League tips this weekend
- KuPS vs Gent · Full time result · Gent1.68
- Midtjylland vs Ajax · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.12
- Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty · Full time result · Atalanta1.18
- Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split · Full time result · Hajduk Split1.39
- Trabzonspor vs Freiburg · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.11
- Mjallby vs Borac Banja Luka · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.14
Frequently asked questions
What is our FK Riga vs FK Jablonec prediction?
We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply FK Riga 40%, the draw 28% and FK Jablonec 32%.
What is the best bet for FK Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Our tip is Full time · Over 1.5 Goals at 1.32.
What time does FK Riga vs FK Jablonec kick off?
FK Riga vs FK Jablonec kicks off at Thu 20:00 in the UEFA Conference League.
Who is out for FK Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Reported absences: Jan Hanuš (out), Nemanja Tekijaški (doubtful).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.