Flamengo vs Gremio prediction, tips and odds
- one sided
- high stakes
- goals fest
- high ceiling
- league
- Flamengo: high
- Gremio: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Brazilian Serie A
Our prediction
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- likeliest half-time score
- 1–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Flamengo come throughOur pickFlamengo1.18
- A quiet first halfOur pickUnder 2.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
- 2–016%
- 3–015%
- 1–012%
- Projected goals
- 3.1
- Likeliest at half time
- 1–030%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.66
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 51%
| Stat | FLA | GRE | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.26 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 3.1 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | FLA | GRE |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 1/5 |
| Both teams scored | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Clean sheets | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Failed to score | 2/5 | 0/5 |
Match context
- Form
- Flamengo unbeaten and red-hot (W4-1 at Vasco, 3-2 v Atletico-MG, 3-0 at Bahia); Gremio have won three straight including 2-0 v Athletico-PR and 2-0 v Atletico-MG in the cup, after a 2-4 loss to Cruzeiro.
- The competition
- Brasileirão Série A 2026, Matchday 34 (a league round, single match). Flamengo sit 1st on 73 pts from 33 with 68/28, three clear of Palmeiras with five rounds left — the title is theirs to lose, so the stakes are high. Gremio are 15th on 37 pts (37/44), only two clear of 17th-placed Corinthians, playing to stay clear of the relegation zone.
Team news
No absences reported.
No absences reported.
Brazilian Serie A table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | — | 73 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | — | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | — | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | — | 54 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 33 | — | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | — | 53 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Kevin ViverosAthletico Paranaense21 goals
- 2PedroFlamengo18 goals
- 3Gabriel BarbosaSantos15 goals
- 4Kaio JorgeCruzeiro12 goals
- 5Carlos ViniciusGremio11 goals
- 1JosueCoritiba10 assists
- 2Andreas PereiraPalmeiras10 assists
- 3Jorge CarrascalFlamengo8 assists
- 4Samuel LinoFlamengo8 assists
- 5Rodrigo GarroCorinthians6 assists
- 1Carlos MiguelPalmeiras15 clean sheets
- 2Agustin RossiFlamengo14 clean sheets
- 3Lucas ArcanjoVitoria10 clean sheets
- 4Hugo SouzaCorinthians9 clean sheets
- 5WevertonGremio8 clean sheets
FBref (scorers, assist, clean sheets), APWin (2.66 goals/match, 51% over 2.5), FootyStats (HT over 0.5 75%, over 1.5 34%)
More tips this week
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- Sporting San Jose FC vs Municipal Perez Zeledon · Full time result · Sporting San Jose FC1.41
- Alianza Lima vs Cienciano · Full time result · Alianza Lima1.43
- J-Lease vs Yokogawa Musashino · J-Lease starts 1.5 goals ahead1.07
- FC Osaka vs Kumamoto · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.14
- Bengaluru B vs Bangalore Dream United · Both teams to score · Yes1.11
Frequently asked questions
What is our Flamengo vs Gremio prediction?
We project 2–0. The bookmakers' own prices imply Flamengo 83%, the draw 11% and Gremio 6%.
What is the best bet for Flamengo vs Gremio?
Our tip is Full time result · Flamengo at 1.18.
What time does Flamengo vs Gremio kick off?
Flamengo vs Gremio kicks off at Wed 22:30 in the Brazilian Serie A.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.