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Ecuadorian Serie A

Independiente (Ecu) vs Univ Catolica (Ecu) prediction, tips and odds

  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Ecuadorian Serie A

Our prediction

FormL, W, L, W, W
FormD, W, W
Our prediction
1–02.2 goals projected
IND 48%Draw 28%UNI 24%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Independiente (Ecu) come throughOur pickIndependiente (Ecu)
    1.64
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 2.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
IND 48%Draw 28%UNI 24%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–015%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–011%
Projected goals
2.2
Likeliest at half time
0–037%
Competition goals a game
2.30
Competition matches over 2.5
41%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Independiente (Ecu) against Univ Catolica (Ecu)
StatINDUNITotal
Goals1.350.852.2

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Independiente (Ecu)L, W, L, W, W
Univ Catolica (Ecu)D, W, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendINDUNI
Over 2.5 goals4/52/3
Both teams scored4/53/3
Clean sheets0/50/3
Failed to score1/50/3

Match context

Form
IDV: lost 1-0 at Macará, beat Aucas 2-1 at home, lost 2-1 at LDU, won at Libertad 3-2 and 3-1 over Macará at home; U. Católica: drew 1-1 at Barcelona SC, won 2-1 at LDU, thrashed Manta 5-1 at home.
The competition
Ecuador's top flight (LigaPro Serie A), 2026 season, second-stage (Championship/Final Stage) round 4 — a league round, not a knockout. Independiente del Valle lead the table (~74 pts) and Universidad Católica sit top three (~51 pts), so both are in the title race; no cup or aggregate context.

Team news

Independiente (Ecu)

No absences reported.

Univ Catolica (Ecu)

No absences reported.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Independiente (Ecu) vs Univ Catolica (Ecu) prediction?

We project 1–0. Our model gives Independiente (Ecu) 48%, the draw 28% and Univ Catolica (Ecu) 24%.

What is the best bet for Independiente (Ecu) vs Univ Catolica (Ecu)?

Our tip is Full time result · Independiente (Ecu) at 1.64. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Independiente (Ecu) vs Univ Catolica (Ecu) kick off?

Independiente (Ecu) vs Univ Catolica (Ecu) kicks off at Fri 20:30 in the Ecuadorian Serie A.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.