Lech Poznan vs Sunderland prediction, tips and odds
- league
- Lech Poznan: high
- Sunderland: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
Our prediction
Wojciech Monka (doubtful), Allahyar Sayyadmanesh (out), Ali Gholizadeh (out), Alex Douglas (out)
Brian Brobbey (out), Wilson Isidor (doubtful), Romaine Mundle (out), Dan Ballard (out), Thomas Meunier (out), Habib Diarra (doubtful)
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Lech Poznan keep it closeOur pickLech Poznan starts 2 goals ahead1.16
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
- 1–112%
- 0–110%
- 1–09%
- Projected goals
- 2.7
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–030%
| Stat | LEC | SUN | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 | 1.41 | 2.7 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 | 1.35 | 3.0 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 13.9 | 27.1 |
| Corners | 5.07 | 4.68 | 9.8 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | LEC | SUN |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 5/5 | 1/4 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 2/4 |
| Clean sheets | 0/5 | 0/4 |
| Failed to score | 2/5 | 2/4 |
Match context
- Poznan 22 Oct forecast: rain, 13-14C, wet-pitch risk (sources disagree on intensity)
- Form
- Lech Poznań score freely domestically (6-1 Korona, 4-1 at Śląsk, 5-1 Radomiak) but have lost 0-4 twice in Europe; Sunderland are WLDL, blanked 0-2 by Bournemouth and 0-2 at home by Brighton, but won 2-1 at Torreense.
- History
- No meaningful history: Lech Poznan and Sunderland have never met competitively (WhoScored preview: "These clubs have never met before"), so there is no head-to-head record to weigh for goals, result or BTTS. On stature, Sunderland are the Premier League side — historically much the bigger club and Europa League leaders with two wins from two — but they arrive in poor domestic form (four straight league defeats). Lech are reigning Polish champions, sitting 2nd in the Ekstraklasa with a strong ho…
- The competition
- UEFA Europa League 2026/27, league phase (36 clubs, 8 matchdays) — Matchday 3 of 8. Not a knockout: every side plays 8 different opponents; top 8 go straight to the R16, 9–24 to knockout play-offs, 25–36 out. Sunderland are 2-0-0 (6 pts, 9th) after 1-0 v AZ Alkmaar and 2-1 at Torreense and are chasing a top-8 bye. Lech Poznań are 0-0-2 (0 pts, 36th of 36), beaten 4-0 by Crystal Palace and 4-0 at home by Leverkusen, still to score, and already under pressure to reach the play-off places. Both ar…
Team news
- Wojciech Monka — doubtful (def)
- Allahyar Sayyadmanesh — out (fwd)
- Ali Gholizadeh — out (fwd)
- Alex Douglas — out (def)
- Brian Brobbey — out (fwd)
- Wilson Isidor — doubtful (fwd)
- Romaine Mundle — out (fwd)
- Dan Ballard — out (def)
- Thomas Meunier — out (def)
- Habib Diarra — doubtful (mid)
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sunderland | 2 | — | 6 |
| 36 | Lech Poznan | 2 | — | 0 |
as read when this competition was last scouted.
More UEFA Europa League tips this weekend
- Sturm Graz vs Marseille · Marseille starts 1 goal ahead1.17
- Union St Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva · Full time result · Union St Gilloise1.47
- Juventus vs Rennes · Full time result · Juventus1.47
- Ararat Armenia vs Az Alkmaar · Full time result · Az Alkmaar1.43
- Ferencvaros vs Torreense · Full time result · Ferencvaros1.44
- OFI vs Leverkusen · Full time result · Leverkusen1.23
Frequently asked questions
What is our Lech Poznan vs Sunderland prediction?
We project 1–1. Our model gives Lech Poznan 34%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 40%.
What is the best bet for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Our tip is Lech Poznan starts 2 goals ahead at 1.16.
What time does Lech Poznan vs Sunderland kick off?
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland kicks off at Thu 16:45 in the UEFA Europa League.
Who is out for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Reported absences: Brian Brobbey (out), Wilson Isidor (doubtful), Romaine Mundle (out), Dan Ballard (out), Thomas Meunier (out), Habib Diarra (doubtful), Wojciech Monka (doubtful), Allahyar Sayyadmanesh (out), Ali Gholizadeh (out), Alex Douglas (out).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.