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Paraguayan Primera Division

Libertad vs Cerro Porteno prediction, tips and odds

  • league
  • Libertad: normal
  • Cerro Porteno: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Paraguayan Primera Division

Our prediction

Libertad
4th · 30 pts
FormL, W, W, L, D
Cerro Porteno
7th · 24 pts
FormL, W, D, D, W
Our prediction
1–12.7 goals projected
LIB 38%Draw 28%CER 34%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Somebody winsOur pickHome or Away
    1.37
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 2.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
LIB 38%Draw 28%CER 34%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 1–010%
  • 0–19%
Projected goals
2.7
Likeliest at half time
0–030%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Libertad against Cerro Porteno
StatLIBCERTotal
GoalsLeague 1.191.381.282.7

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
LibertadL, W, W, L, D
Cerro PortenoL, W, D, D, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendLIBCER
Over 2.5 goals3/54/5
Both teams scored3/53/5
Clean sheets1/51/5
Failed to score1/51/5

Match context

Form
Libertad: L 1-2 at San Lorenzo, W 3-1 (cup), W 1-0, L 0-1, D 2-2 — mixed, low-scoring. Cerro: L 0-2 v Olimpia, W 3-1, D 2-2, D 2-2 (cup, out on pens), W 3-0 — scoring freely but leaking.
The competition
Paraguayan Primera División, Clausura 2026 league round (a single league fixture, no knockout leg). Libertad sit 4th (P17, 30 pts, GF25/GA19) chasing the leaders; Cerro Porteño are 7th (P17, 24 pts, GF23/GA19), nine points off 4th with six rounds left — a win keeps Cerro's slim top-four/continental-race hopes alive, a loss effectively ends them. Nothing on the line that is mathematically settled either way.

Team news

Libertad

No absences reported.

Cerro Porteno

No absences reported.

Paraguayan Primera Division table and leaders

Paraguayan Primera Division standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Olimpia17—36
2Nacional Asunción17—32
3Sportivo Trinidense17—30
4Libertad17—30
52 de Mayo17—29
6Guaraní17—28

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Pablo VegettiCerro Porteño8 goals
  2. 2Elvio VeraLibertad7 goals
  3. 3Iván ValdezNacional Asunción6 goals
  4. 4Luis AbreuSportivo Trinidense6 goals
  5. 5Hugo Adrián BenítezNacional Asunción6 goals

Scorers: TyC Sports/promediosinfo, Clausura 2026 after fecha 17. Assists: promediosinfo (top 2 only). Clean sheets: club shutouts, Alargue.com.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Libertad vs Cerro Porteno prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Libertad 38%, the draw 28% and Cerro Porteno 34%.

What is the best bet for Libertad vs Cerro Porteno?

Our tip is Home or Away at 1.37. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Libertad vs Cerro Porteno kick off?

Libertad vs Cerro Porteno kicks off at Wed 22:00 in the Paraguayan Primera Division.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.