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UEFA Conference League

Lugano vs FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction, tips and odds

Lugano, five straight wins and 17 goals in them, host a Kauno Zalgiris side beaten 4-1 and 4-0 in their two Conference League games
  • one sided
  • goals fest
  • high ceiling
  • high stakes
  • early goal
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
UEFA Conference League

Our prediction

FormW, W, W, W, W
FormW, D, L, W, L
Our prediction
2–03.6 goals projected
LUG 83%Draw 11%FK 6%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
1–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Lugano come throughOur pickLugano
    1.19
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris keep it closeOur pickFK Kauno Zalgiris starts 2.5 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
LUG 83%Draw 11%FK 6%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 2–011%
  • 3–011%
  • 2–18%
Projected goals
3.6
Likeliest at half time
1–026%
Competition goals a game
2.48
Competition matches over 2.5
54%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Lugano against FK Kauno Zalgiris
StatLUGFK Total
GoalsLeague 1.242.910.713.6

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
LuganoW, W, W, W, W
FK Kauno ZalgirisW, D, L, W, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendLUGFK
Over 2.5 goals5/53/5
Both teams scored4/52/5
Clean sheets1/52/5
Failed to score0/52/5

Match context

Form
Lugano have won five straight (17 scored, 7 conceded), including 5-2 at Getafe and 3-2 home to Crvena Zvezda; Kauno Zalgiris have lost both ECL games 1-4 (Brann, home) and 0-4 (Brighton, away), with domestic wins at Suduva and Hegelmann either side.
The competition
Conference League league phase, matchday 3 (single league-phase game, no second leg). Per the table on file Lugano sit 2nd on 6 pts (8 GF/4 GA) while Kauno Zalgiris are 36th on 0 pts (1 GF/8 GA) after two defeats — Lugano playing to stay in the top-eight bracket, Kauno Zalgiris already chasing survival in the bottom half. Goal.com lists this as Game Week 3 at AIL Arena.

Team news

Lugano

No absences reported.

FK Kauno Zalgiris

No absences reported.

UEFA Conference League table and leaders

UEFA Conference League standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Strasbourg6—16
2Raków Częstochowa6—14
3AEK Athens6—13
4Sparta Praha6—13
5Rayo Vallecano6—13
6Shakhtar Donetsk6—13

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Ismaïla SarrCrystal Palace9 goals
  2. 2Marius MouandilmadjiSamsunspor8 goals
  3. 3Mikael IshakLech Poznań8 goals
  4. 4Sven MijnansAZ Alkmaar6 goals
  5. 5Toni FrukRijeka5 goals

UEFA.com season stats, Wikipedia league-phase table, GoalStatsLab totals

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Lugano vs FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction?

We project 2–0. The bookmakers' own prices imply Lugano 83%, the draw 11% and FK Kauno Zalgiris 6%.

What is the best bet for Lugano vs FK Kauno Zalgiris?

Our tip is Full time result · Lugano at 1.19. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Lugano vs FK Kauno Zalgiris kick off?

Lugano vs FK Kauno Zalgiris kicks off at Thu 20:00 in the UEFA Conference League.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.