Man Utd vs Roma prediction, tips and odds
- goals fest
- high ceiling
- one sided
- high stakes
- weakened side
- league
- Man Utd: must win
- Roma: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Referee
- Jesús Gil Manzano (ESP)
- 5.1 cards a game
Our prediction
Luke Shaw (out), Manuel Ugarte (out), Benjamin Sesko (out), Marcus Rashford (doubtful), Patrick Dorgu (out), Amad Diallo (doubtful)
Mile Svilar (out), Paulo Dybala (out), Manu Kone (out), Lorenzo Pellegrini (out)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- goals per meeting
- 3.2goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 3/6with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 2/6over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–1likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Roma keep it closeOur pickRoma starts 2 goals ahead1.12
- Roma come throughOur pickRoma · Draw no betPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
- 1–38%
- 1–28%
- 0–37%
- Projected goals
- 4.3
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–120%
- Competition goals a game
- 3.47
| Stat | MAN | ROM | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.74 | 1.21 | 3.07 | 4.3 |
| Shots | 15.2 | 15.2 | 30.3 |
| Shots on target | 4.74 | 4.95 | 9.7 |
| Corners | 4.49 | 4.62 | 9.1 |
| Cards | 2.41 | 2.69 | 5.1 |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 11.8 | 21.6 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | MAN | ROM |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| Both teams scored | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 0/5 | 2/5 |
| Failed to score | 3/5 | 0/5 |
- LRoma 3–2 Manchester United2021-05-06 · UEFA Europa League, semi-final 2nd leg5 gls
- WManchester United 6–2 Roma2021-04-29 · UEFA Europa League, semi-final 1st leg8 gls
- WManchester United 1–0 Roma2008-04-09 · UEFA Champions League, quarter-final 2nd leg1 gls
- WRoma 0–2 Manchester United2008-04-01 · UEFA Champions League, quarter-final 1st leg2 gls
- DRoma 1–1 Manchester United2007-12-12 · UEFA Champions League, group stage2 gls
Match context
- Form
- Man Utd LLLDL — four straight losses in all comps, 2 scored and 12 conceded in five, no clean sheet; Roma WWDWW in all comps, 18 scored and 7 conceded in five with two clean sheets.
- History
- Nine previous meetings, all in UEFA competition. United lead 6-2 with one draw. Most recent: 2020-21 Europa League semi-final — United 6-2 at Old Trafford (HT 1-2) and Roma 3-2 in Rome (HT 0-1), United through 8-5. Before that, the 2007/08 Champions League: Roma 1-1 (HT 0-1), United 1-0 (2007), United 1-0 (2008 QF), Roma 0-2 (2008 QF first leg) and Roma 2-1 / United 7-1 in the 2006/07 QF. Old history is heavy on goals, but little of it resembles this fixture: the two most recent meetings were a…
- The competition
- UEFA Champions League 2026/27 league phase (36 teams, 8 matchdays), Matchday 4, single league-phase game at Old Trafford — no second leg. Both sides are mid-table and need points: Roma sit 15th on 4 pts (1W 1D 1L, GF8/GA5) after 1-1 at Fenerbahçe, 3-4 home loss to Real Madrid and 4-0 win over Slovan Bratislava; Man Utd are 20th/21st on 3 pts (1W 0D 2L, GF5/GA6) after a 4-0 win over Sabah FK, 0-2 at Atlético and 1-4 at Como. Top eight go straight to the last 16, 9th-24th to play-offs, 25th-36th…
- Referee cards
- 5.1a game
- Roma cards
- 2.1a game
Team news
- Luke Shaw — out (def)
- Manuel Ugarte — out (mid)
- Benjamin Sesko — out (fwd)
- Marcus Rashford — doubtful (fwd)
- Patrick Dorgu — out (def)
- Amad Diallo — doubtful (fwd)
- Mile Svilar — out (gk)
- Paulo Dybala — out (fwd)
- Manu Kone — out (mid)
- Lorenzo Pellegrini — out (mid)
UEFA Champions League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | — | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | — | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | — | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | — | 16 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Kylian MbappéReal Madrid15 goals
- 2Harry KaneBayern München14 goals
- 3Julián ÁlvarezAtlético Madrid10 goals
- 4Anthony GordonNewcastle United10 goals
- 5Khvicha KvaratskheliaParis Saint-Germain10 goals
- 1Michael OliseBayern München8 assists
- 2Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid8 assists
- 3Achraf HakimiParis Saint-Germain6 assists
- 4Khvicha KvaratskheliaParis Saint-Germain6 assists
- 5Leandro TrossardArsenal5 assists
- 6Antoine GriezmannAtlético Madrid5 assists
- 1David RayaArsenal9 clean sheets
- 2Guglielmo VicarioTottenham Hotspur6 clean sheets
- 3Anatoliy TrubinBenfica4 clean sheets
UEFA.com season stats + top scorer/assist articles; clean sheets via UEFA/Fox Sports keeper table
More UEFA Champions League tips this weekend
- Galatasaray vs Stuttgart · Half time · Under 3.5 Goals1.08
- Shakhtar vs Sporting Lisbon · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.07
- LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava · Full time result · LASK Linz1.40
- Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich · Half time · Under 3.5 Goals1.06
- Feyenoord vs Inter · Half time · Under 2.5 Goals1.25
- Bodo Glimt vs Lille · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.12
Frequently asked questions
What is our Man Utd vs Roma prediction?
We project 1–3. The bookmakers' own prices imply Man Utd 43%, the draw 24% and Roma 33%.
What is the best bet for Man Utd vs Roma?
Our tip is Roma starts 2 goals ahead at 1.12.
What time does Man Utd vs Roma kick off?
Man Utd vs Roma kicks off at Tue 20:00 in the UEFA Champions League.
Who is out for Man Utd vs Roma?
Reported absences: Luke Shaw (out), Manuel Ugarte (out), Benjamin Sesko (out), Marcus Rashford (doubtful), Patrick Dorgu (out), Amad Diallo (doubtful), Mile Svilar (out), Paulo Dybala (out), Manu Kone (out), Lorenzo Pellegrini (out).
What happened the last time Man Utd vs Roma met?
Roma 3–2 Manchester United (2021-05-06 · UEFA Europa League, semi-final 2nd leg). Over their last 6 meetings it is 4 wins for Man Utd, 1 draw and 1 for Roma.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.