Skip to content
sugardice
Kenyan Premier League

Mathare United FC vs Tusker FC prediction, tips and odds

Mathare United, three games without a goal, host a Tusker side that has scored twice in three and lost two of them
  • low scoring
  • slow start
  • no strong shape
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Kenyan Premier League

Our prediction

Mathare United FC
14th · 41 pts
FormD, L, D
Tusker FC
9th · 45 pts
FormW, L, L
Our prediction
1–12.2 goals projected
MAT 39%Draw 29%TUS 32%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Mathare United FC keep it closeOur pickMathare United FC starts 1.5 goals ahead
    1.17
  • Mathare United FC come throughOur pickHome or Draw
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
MAT 39%Draw 29%TUS 32%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–113%
  • 1–013%
  • 0–112%
Projected goals
2.2
Likeliest at half time
0–038%
Competition goals a game
2.15
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Mathare United FC against Tusker FC
StatMATTUSTotal
GoalsLeague 1.081.151.022.2

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Mathare United FCD, L, D
Tusker FCW, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendMATTUS
Over 2.5 goals0/31/3
Both teams scored0/31/3
Clean sheets2/30/3
Failed to score3/32/3

Match context

Form
Mathare: three league games, no win and no goal scored — 0-0 at Migori Youth, 0-1 at KCB, 0-0 v APS Bomet. Tusker: 1W 2L from three (GF2/GA3 per Goal table), the win a 3-2 home game and two 0-1 away defeats.
The competition
Kenyan Premier League (FKF/SportPesa Premier League), early 2026/27 league round — a normal mid-week matchday, no cup or aggregate. Both clubs were mid-table last season (Mathare 14th, 41 pts; Tusker 9th, 45 pts of 34 games); both are still assembling an early-season footing — Mathare are hunting a first win (three games, no goals scored), Tusker sit on 3 points from three. Nothing on the pages opened indicates a dead rubber or a decisive stakes difference.

Team news

Mathare United FC

No absences reported.

Tusker FC

No absences reported.

Kenyan Premier League table and leaders

Kenyan Premier League standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Gor Mahia34—69
2AFC Leopards34—64
3Kenya Police34—55
4Nairobi United34—53
5Shabana34—52
6Kakamega Homeboyz34—49

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Joe Waithira (Joseph Irungu Waithira)Murang'a Seal19 goals

Wikipedia 2025–26 KPL infobox and Daily Nation, 19 goals. Only the leader surfaced; full top-five tables unreachable.

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Mathare United FC vs Tusker FC prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Mathare United FC 39%, the draw 29% and Tusker FC 32%.

What is the best bet for Mathare United FC vs Tusker FC?

Our tip is Mathare United FC starts 1.5 goals ahead at 1.17.

What time does Mathare United FC vs Tusker FC kick off?

Mathare United FC vs Tusker FC kicks off at Thu 12:00 in the Kenyan Premier League.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.