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Italian Serie B

Modena vs Cesena prediction, tips and odds

  • league
  • Modena: normal
  • Cesena: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Italian Serie B

Our prediction

Modena
6th · 55 pts
FormW, D, L, W, W
Cesena
11th · 46 pts
FormD, L, D, D, W
Our prediction
1–02.6 goals projected
MOD 55%Draw 24%CES 21%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Modena come throughOur pickModena
    1.59
  • Cesena keep it closeOur pickCesena starts 3 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
MOD 55%Draw 24%CES 21%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–012%
  • 1–112%
  • 2–010%
Projected goals
2.6
Likeliest at half time
0–031%
Competition goals a game
2.55
Competition matches over 2.5
48%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Modena against Cesena
StatMODCESTotal
Goals1.670.942.6

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
ModenaW, D, L, W, W
CesenaD, L, D, D, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendMODCES
Over 2.5 goals3/51/5
Both teams scored3/54/5
Clean sheets1/50/5
Failed to score1/51/5

Match context

Form
Modena: W-L-D-W-W across Aug–Sep (3-0 Cremonese, 2-1 Empoli highlights) with a 17 Oct date at Carrarese unverified; Cesena winless in six: four 1-1 draws (Sampdoria, Mantova, Juve Stabia, Avellino), one 1-2 win at Entella, 0-2 loss at Benevento.
The competition
Serie B (Italy's second tier), Matchweek 8 of the 2026/27 season — a normal league round, not a cup tie. On the on-file final table Modena finished 6th (55 pts, 49/36) and Cesena 11th (46 pts, 45/56), so both are mid-table sides; live 2026/27 standings put Modena 4th on 13 points after 7 games (4W-1D-2L), while Cesena sit lower after a winless run of draws. Both chasing a promotion/playoff push rather than survival.

Team news

Modena

No absences reported.

Cesena

No absences reported.

Italian Serie B table and leaders

Italian Serie B standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Venezia38—82
2Frosinone38—81
3Monza38—76
4Palermo38—72
5Catanzaro38—59
6Modena38—55

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Joel PohjanpaloPalermo24 goals
  2. 2Andrea AdoranteVenezia17 goals
  3. 3Stiven ShpendiEmpoli15 goals
  4. 4Farès GhedjemisFrosinone15 goals
  5. 5Antonio Di NardoPescara14 goals

Final table: Lega B C.U. 175 (9 May 2026) with Repubblica/Sky/calciotel GF-GA; 2.55 goals and 48% O2.5 from statometrics; leaders from Sky/FBref.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Modena vs Cesena prediction?

We project 1–0. Our model gives Modena 55%, the draw 24% and Cesena 21%.

What is the best bet for Modena vs Cesena?

Our tip is Full time result · Modena at 1.59. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Modena vs Cesena kick off?

Modena vs Cesena kicks off at Sat 13:00 in the Italian Serie B.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.