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Scottish Championship

Morton vs Ayr prediction, tips and odds

  • league
Kick-off
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Competition
Scottish Championship

Our prediction

Morton
9th · 7 pts
FormW, W, L, L, L
Ayr
7th · 12 pts
FormL, D, W, L, L
Our prediction
1–12.3 goals projected
MOR 38%Draw 28%AYR 34%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Morton keep it closeOur pickMorton starts 2 goals ahead
    1.09
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
MOR 38%Draw 28%AYR 34%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–113%
  • 1–012%
  • 0–111%
Projected goals
2.3
Likeliest at half time
0–035%
Competition goals a game
2.02
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Morton against Ayr
StatMORAYRTotal
Goals1.191.112.3

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
MortonW, W, L, L, L
AyrL, D, W, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendMORAYR
Over 2.5 goals2/52/5
Both teams scored2/53/5
Clean sheets1/50/5
Failed to score2/52/5

Match context

Form
Morton: W2 L3 in last five (2-0 v Queen's Park, 2-1 at Arbroath, then three defeats); Ayr: W1 D1 L3 (2-1 at Livingston, then 0-1 losses to Stenhousemuir and Partick). Both low-scoring, both 9th/7th-ish mid-lower table.
The competition
Scottish Championship (second tier), matchweek 12 league round at Cappielow. Morton sit 9th on 7 points after a 9-game winless run earlier in the season; Ayr are 7th on 12 points — both in the lower-middle pack, so a mid-table league fixture with normal stakes.

Team news

Morton

No absences reported.

Ayr

No absences reported.

Scottish Championship table

Scottish Championship standings
#ClubPLGDPts
9Morton11—7
7Ayr11—12

as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Morton vs Ayr prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Morton 38%, the draw 28% and Ayr 34%.

What is the best bet for Morton vs Ayr?

Our tip is Morton starts 2 goals ahead at 1.09.

What time does Morton vs Ayr kick off?

Morton vs Ayr kicks off at Sat 14:00 in the Scottish Championship.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.