Napoli vs Roma prediction, tips and odds
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Italian Serie A
Our prediction
Our prediction
1–12.4 goals projected
NAP 36%Draw 28%ROM 36%
- goals per meeting
- 2.3goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 3/6with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 2/6over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
Rating hidden until revealed
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals1.15
- Napoli keep it closeOur pickNapoli starts 2.5 goals aheadPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
Result probability
NAP 36%Draw 28%ROM 36%
Likeliest scorelines
- 1–113%
- 1–011%
- 0–111%
- Projected goals
- 2.4
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–034%
Projected stats
| Stat | NAP | ROM | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 | 1.2 | 2.4 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
Last five
NapoliW, L, W, D, W
RomaW, L, D, D, D
| Trend | NAP | ROM |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| Both teams scored | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Clean sheets | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 2/5 |
Head-to-head · last 6
2
NAP wins
3
Draws
1
ROM wins
- DNapoli 2–2 Roma2026-02-15 · Serie A4 gls
- WRoma 0–1 Napoli2025-11-30 · Serie A1 gls
- DRoma 1–1 Napoli2025-02-02 · Serie A2 gls
- WNapoli 1–0 Roma2024-11-24 · Serie A1 gls
- DNapoli 2–2 Roma2024-04-28 · Serie A4 gls
2.3goals per meeting3/6with both teams scoring2/6over 2.5 goals
Match context
- Form
- Napoli LWDWW... (recent: 0-1 loss at Venezia, 4-3 CL win over Bodø/Glimt, 3-0 v Frosinone, 1-1 at Fiorentina, 1-0 v Bologna); Roma unbeaten — 2-0 v Genoa, 0-0 at Como, CL 1-1 at Fenerbahçe, 2-2 at Inter, 2-1 v Atalanta.
- History
- Derby del Sole between two Serie A heavyweights who have been near-equals recently: last six league meetings 2 Napoli wins, 3 draws, 1 Roma win, and all were tight (only one decided by more than a goal). Most recent: Napoli 2-2 Roma (Feb 2026), Roma 0-1 Napoli (Nov 2025), Roma 1-1 Napoli (Feb 2025), Napoli 1-0 Roma (Nov 2024), Napoli 2-2 Roma (Apr 2024), Roma 2-0 Napoli (Dec 2023). Goals have been modest (BTTS in 2 of last 4), with three of the last four first halves not producing an early open…
- The competition
- Italian Serie A 2026-27, Italy's national top flight, Matchweek 8 (ordinary league round, Sat 24 Oct). Napoli sit 9th on 10 pts from 7 (3W-1D-3L), well off the pace after a 0-1 home defeat to Venezia; Roma are 3rd on 17 pts (5W-2D-0L, unbeaten), two behind leaders Inter and Lazio and pushing for the summit. Napoli need points to stay in the European race after a poor start; Roma are protecting an unbeaten run and a title challenge. Both played midweek Champions League (Napoli 4-3 Bodø/Glimt, Ro…
Team news
Napoli
No absences reported.
Roma
No absences reported.
Italian Serie A table
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 7 | — | 19 |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | — | 19 |
| 3 | Roma | 7 | — | 17 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | — | 10 |
as read when this competition was last scouted.
More tips this week
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Frequently asked questions
What is our Napoli vs Roma prediction?
We project 1–1. Our model gives Napoli 36%, the draw 28% and Roma 36%.
What is the best bet for Napoli vs Roma?
Our tip is Full time · Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15.
What time does Napoli vs Roma kick off?
Napoli vs Roma kicks off at Sat 16:00 in the Italian Serie A.
What happened the last time Napoli vs Roma met?
Napoli 2–2 Roma (2026-02-15 · Serie A). Over their last 6 meetings it is 2 wins for Napoli, 3 draws and 1 for Roma.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.