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English National League North

Oxford City vs Merthyr Town prediction, tips and odds

Second-placed Oxford City, unbeaten in seven, host a Merthyr Town side winless in five and scoring exactly one in each of those games.
  • goals fest
  • one sided
  • high ceiling
  • high stakes
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
English National League North

Our prediction

Oxford City
2nd · 24 pts
FormD, W, W, W, L
Merthyr Town
18th · 15 pts
FormL, D, D, L, L
Our prediction
3–03.7 goals projected
OXF 83%Draw 11%MER 6%
likeliest half-time score
1–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Oxford City come throughOur pickOxford City · Draw no bet
    1.74
  • Oxford City avoid defeatOur pickOxford City starts 1 goal ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
OXF 83%Draw 11%MER 6%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 3–011%
  • 2–011%
  • 4–08%
Projected goals
3.7
Likeliest at half time
1–025%
Competition goals a game
2.77
Competition matches over 2.5
54%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Oxford City against Merthyr Town
StatOXFMERTotal
Goals3.00.733.7

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Oxford CityD, W, W, W, L
Merthyr TownL, D, D, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendOXFMER
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored3/55/5
Clean sheets2/50/5
Failed to score0/50/5

Match context

Form
Oxford City 2nd, unbeaten in seven (1-1 at Marine, 3-0 at Hebburn, 6-1 FA Cup win) with only one league defeat; Merthyr Town winless in a run of draws and losses, losing 1-3 at home to Morecambe most recently.
The competition
English National League North (tier 6, National League Division North) 2026/27 league round, midweek fixture at Oxford City's MGroup Stadium. Oxford City sit 2nd (24 pts from 12) chasing Hereford; Merthyr Town are mid/lower-table (15 pts from 13), so the home side is playing for top spot while Merthyr look for points away.

Team news

Oxford City

No absences reported.

Merthyr Town

No absences reported.

English National League North table

English National League North standings
#ClubPLGDPts
2Oxford City12—24
18Merthyr Town13—15

as read when this competition was last scouted.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Oxford City vs Merthyr Town prediction?

We project 3–0. Our model gives Oxford City 83%, the draw 11% and Merthyr Town 6%.

What is the best bet for Oxford City vs Merthyr Town?

Our tip is Full time result · Oxford City at 1.74. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Oxford City vs Merthyr Town kick off?

Oxford City vs Merthyr Town kicks off at Tue 19:45 in the English National League North.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.