Padova vs Sudtirol prediction, tips and odds
- low scoring
- cagey
- no strong shape
- league
- Padova: normal
- Sudtirol: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Italian Serie B
Our prediction
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals1.10
- Padova keep it closeOur pickPadova starts 1.5 goals aheadPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
- 1–014%
- 1–113%
- 0–011%
- Projected goals
- 2.2
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–037%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.55
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 48%
| Stat | PAD | SUD | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 | 0.95 | 2.2 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | PAD | SUD |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Both teams scored | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Clean sheets | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 2/5 |
Match context
- Form
- Padova: W-L-L-L-W in last five, only 4 goals scored and 6 conceded, two straight home defeats (0-2 Carrarese, 1-2 Entella) before a 1-0 win at Avellino. Südtirol: W-W-D-L-D, low-scoring — 4-1 at Arezzo the outlier, otherwise 2-0, 0-0, 0-3, 1-1.
- The competition
- Serie B (Italy's second tier, 2026-27) regular league, matchday 9, single round — no legs. Padova sit 9th on 10 pts after 8 games (3W-1D-4L, 7 GF / 10 GA), having just won 1-0 at Avellino after back-to-back home defeats; Südtirol are 7th on 13 pts (3W-4D-1L, unbeaten in 8 but only one win in their last five). Both are upper-mid-table sides chasing the promotion-playoff places, so a normal-stakes midweek league game.
Team news
No absences reported.
No absences reported.
Italian Serie B table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 38 | — | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 38 | — | 81 |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | — | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo | 38 | — | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 38 | — | 59 |
| 6 | Modena | 38 | — | 55 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Joel PohjanpaloPalermo24 goals
- 2Andrea AdoranteVenezia17 goals
- 3Stiven ShpendiEmpoli15 goals
- 4Farès GhedjemisFrosinone15 goals
- 5Antonio Di NardoPescara14 goals
- 1Giacomo CalòFrosinone15 assists
- 1Palermo17 clean sheets
- 2Monza16 clean sheets
- 3Venezia16 clean sheets
- 4Frosinone15 clean sheets
- 5Modena14 clean sheets
Final table: Lega B C.U. 175 (9 May 2026) with Repubblica/Sky/calciotel GF-GA; 2.55 goals and 48% O2.5 from statometrics; leaders from Sky/FBref.
More Italian Serie B tips this weekend
- Benevento vs Catanzaro · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.25
- Mantova vs US Cremonese · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.12
- LR Vicenza Virtus vs Modena · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.19
- Cesena vs Empoli · Full time · Under 3.5 Goals1.37
- Entella vs Calcio Avellino SSD · Full time · Under 3.5 Goals1.27
- Ascoli vs Sampdoria · Ascoli starts 1 goal ahead1.13
Frequently asked questions
What is our Padova vs Sudtirol prediction?
We project 1–0. Our model gives Padova 43%, the draw 29% and Sudtirol 28%.
What is the best bet for Padova vs Sudtirol?
Our tip is Full time · Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10.
What time does Padova vs Sudtirol kick off?
Padova vs Sudtirol kicks off at Tue 19:00 in the Italian Serie B.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.