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Japanese J League 3

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima Utd prediction, tips and odds

Top-of-the-table J3 clash: leaders Kagoshima, three clear of third-placed Renofa, meet a home side with four clean sheets in six
  • high stakes
  • even match
  • low scoring
  • no strong shape
  • league
  • Renofa Yamaguchi: normal
  • Kagoshima Utd: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Japanese J League 3

Our prediction

Renofa Yamaguchi
3rd · 23 pts
FormL, W, L, W, W
Kagoshima Utd
1st · 29 pts
FormD, L, W, W, L
Our prediction
1–12.4 goals projected
REN 29%Draw 28%KAG 43%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Renofa Yamaguchi keep it closeOur pickRenofa Yamaguchi starts 2 goals ahead
    1.09
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 3.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
REN 29%Draw 28%KAG 43%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–113%
  • 1–011%
  • 0–110%
Projected goals
2.4
Likeliest at half time
0–033%
Competition goals a game
2.83
Competition matches over 2.5
59%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Renofa Yamaguchi against Kagoshima Utd
StatRENKAGTotal
GoalsLeague 1.271.321.122.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Renofa YamaguchiL, W, L, W, W
Kagoshima UtdD, L, W, W, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendRENKAG
Over 2.5 goals1/53/5
Both teams scored1/54/5
Clean sheets3/50/5
Failed to score1/51/5

Match context

Form
Renofa: W,W,L,W,L (0-2 loss to Kitakyushu last time out; 4 clean sheets in 6). Kagoshima: L,W,W,L,D (1-1 with Kumamoto; 4-2 and 3-1 home wins earlier in October).
The competition
J3 League (Japan's third tier), 2026-27 regular season, Round 15 — a single league fixture, no knockout legs. Kagoshima United are top of the table and in a title/promotion-race scrap with Ehime (level on 26+ points in this round's table), while Renofa Yamaguchi sit 3rd, a few points behind them; both sides are playing for the top places, so neither is in a dead rubber.

Team news

Renofa Yamaguchi

No absences reported.

Kagoshima Utd

No absences reported.

Japanese J League 3 table and leaders

Japanese J League 3 standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Kagoshima United12—29
2Ehime FC12—26
3Renofa Yamaguchi12—23
4Nara Club12—23
7FC Osaka12—20
8Roasso Kumamoto12—20

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Yuki OkadaFukushima United9 goals

OddAlerts J3 League player stats, updated after matches to 4 Oct 2026

More Japanese J League 3 tips this weekend

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima Utd prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Renofa Yamaguchi 29%, the draw 28% and Kagoshima Utd 43%.

What is the best bet for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima Utd?

Our tip is Renofa Yamaguchi starts 2 goals ahead at 1.09.

What time does Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima Utd kick off?

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima Utd kicks off at Tue 05:00 in the Japanese J League 3.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.