Skip to content
Portuguese Primeira Liga

Rio Ave vs Famalicao prediction, tips and odds

Rio Ave have conceded 17 in 8 games and shipped four to Sporting, while Famalicão arrive off a 1-4 home humbling by Alverca in a scrap between two sides on seven points
  • goals fest
  • high ceiling
  • high stakes
  • league
  • Rio Ave: normal
  • Famalicao: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our prediction

Rio Ave
14th · 7 pts
FormW, W, L, D, L
Famalicao
13th · 7 pts
FormL, W, D, D, D
Our prediction
2–13.4 goals projected
RIO 60%Draw 20%FAM 20%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Rio Ave keep it closeOur pickRio Ave starts 2 goals ahead
    1.10
  • Somebody winsOur pickHome or Away
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
RIO 60%Draw 20%FAM 20%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 2–110%
  • 1–19%
  • 2–08%
Projected goals
3.4
Likeliest at half time
0–022%
Competition goals a game
2.75
Competition matches over 2.5
55%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Rio Ave against Famalicao
StatRIOFAMTotal
Goals2.211.23.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Rio AveW, W, L, D, L
FamalicaoL, W, D, D, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendRIOFAM
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored2/53/5
Clean sheets1/52/5
Failed to score2/51/5

Match context

Form
Rio Ave: W-W over Nacional (3-2 H) and at Louletano (1-0, cup in between), but lost 0-1 at Alverca and 0-4 to Sporting, drew 3-3 with Estrela. Famalicão: 1-4 home loss to Alverca last out, preceded by 4-0 win at Nacional then three straight draws (1-1 Sporting, 2-2 Estrela, 0-0…
The competition
Primeira Liga 2026/27, matchday 9 (round of the regular league season, single match, no second leg). Both sides are stuck in mid/lower table on 7 points after 8 games: Famalicão 13th (GF10/GA11) and Rio Ave 14th (GF8/GA17), so this is a direct scrap for position between two sides that have started poorly and are looking over their shoulders rather than chasing Europe; neither is in a dead rubber, points matter for pulling clear of the bottom group (Nacional 4, Casa Pia 4, Estoril 2).

Team news

Rio Ave

No absences reported.

Famalicao

No absences reported.

Portuguese Primeira Liga table and leaders

Portuguese Primeira Liga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Porto8—24
2Benfica8—19
3Sporting CP8—18
4Santa Clara8—18
5Arouca8—14
6Académico de Viseu8—14

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Vangelis PavlidisBenfica8 goals
  2. 2Luis SuárezSporting CP7 goals
  3. 3Gianluca PrestianniBenfica5 goals
  4. 4BarberoArouca5 goals
  5. 5Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara5 goals

Table, avg goals and over-2.5 from SoccerBet Tips/Soccer News (MD8, Oct 2026); leaders cross-checked with soccernews.com and FOX Sports (18 Oct 2026).

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Rio Ave vs Famalicao prediction?

We project 2–1. Our model gives Rio Ave 60%, the draw 20% and Famalicao 20%.

What is the best bet for Rio Ave vs Famalicao?

Our tip is Rio Ave starts 2 goals ahead at 1.10.

What time does Rio Ave vs Famalicao kick off?

Rio Ave vs Famalicao kicks off at Sun 18:00 in the Portuguese Primeira Liga.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.