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Latvian Virsliga

SC Grobina vs FK Riga prediction, tips and odds

Title-chasing Riga FC, four points adrift of RFS with three rounds left, visit a Grobina side that has conceded 56 goals in 33 games.
  • one sided
  • high stakes
  • high ceiling
  • both score
  • league
  • SC Grobina: low
  • FK Riga: must win
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Latvian Virsliga

Our prediction

SC Grobina
8th · 29 pts
FormW, L, D, W, L
FK Riga
2nd · 81 pts
FormD, W, D, W, W
Our prediction
0–23.1 goals projected
SC 15%Draw 19%FK 66%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • FK Riga come throughOur pickFK Riga
    1.24
  • SC Grobina keep it closeOur pickSC Grobina starts 4 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
SC 15%Draw 19%FK 66%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 0–211%
  • 1–210%
  • 0–110%
Projected goals
3.1
Likeliest at half time
0–025%
Competition goals a game
2.87
Competition matches over 2.5
55%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for SC Grobina against FK Riga
StatSC FK Total
GoalsLeague 1.440.942.173.1

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
SC GrobinaW, L, D, W, L
FK RigaD, W, D, W, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendSC FK
Over 2.5 goals3/52/5
Both teams scored3/54/5
Clean sheets2/51/5
Failed to score1/50/5

Match context

Form
Grobina (8th) last five: W3-2 Ogre Utd (H), L1-2 Super Nova (A), D0-0 Tukums (A), W1-0 Daugavpils (H), L1-3 Liepaja (A). Riga FC last five: D1-1 Pafos (CL, A), W2-1 Super Nova (H), D1-1 Kairat (CL, H), W2-0 Tukums (A), W2-1 Aris Limassol (friendly, A).
The competition
Latvian Virsliga (top flight, tier 2 standard) — Round 34 of the 36-round 2026 season, a single league fixture, no second leg. Riga FC are 2nd on 81 pts from 33 games, four points behind leaders RFS with three rounds left, so they are chasing the title and must win. Grobina are 8th on 29 pts (25/56), mid-lower table with nothing but league position left to play for.

Team news

SC Grobina

No absences reported.

FK Riga

No absences reported.

Latvian Virsliga table

Latvian Virsliga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1RFS33—83
2Riga FC33—81
3FK Auda33—63
4FK Liepaja33—46
5BFC Daugavpils33—45
6SK Super Nova33—38

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our SC Grobina vs FK Riga prediction?

We project 0–2. Our model gives SC Grobina 15%, the draw 19% and FK Riga 66%.

What is the best bet for SC Grobina vs FK Riga?

Our tip is Full time result · FK Riga at 1.24. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does SC Grobina vs FK Riga kick off?

SC Grobina vs FK Riga kicks off at Mon 16:00 in the Latvian Virsliga.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.