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Spanish La Liga

Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction, tips and odds

Sevilla, winless in five and without a home clean sheet, host an Osasuna side built around Budimir but missing key man Aimar Oroz
  • both score
  • weakened side
  • no strong shape
  • league
  • Sevilla: normal
  • Osasuna: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish La Liga

Our prediction

Sevilla
6th · 14 pts
FormL, D, L, D, L

Marcão (out), Miguel Sierra (out), Giorgi Kochorashvili (doubtful), Jon Guridi (doubtful), Lucas Stassin (doubtful)

Osasuna
12th · 11 pts
FormW, L, D, L, L

Aimar Oroz (out), Romain Del Castillo (out), Jorge Herrando (out), Asier Bonel (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–12.6 goals projected
SEV 51%Draw 25%OSA 24%
goals per meeting
1.5goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
3/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
1/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Sevilla come throughOur pickSevilla
    1.96
  • Somebody winsOur pickHome or Away
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
SEV 51%Draw 25%OSA 24%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 1–012%
  • 2–110%
Projected goals
2.6
Likeliest at half time
0–031%
Competition goals a game
3.07
Competition matches over 2.5
56%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Sevilla against Osasuna
StatSEVOSATotal
Goals1.611.022.6
Expected goals (xG)1.381.492.9
Corners3.783.817.6
Fouls13.914.328.2

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
SevillaL, D, L, D, L
OsasunaW, L, D, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendSEVOSA
Over 2.5 goals4/52/5
Both teams scored5/52/5
Clean sheets0/51/5
Failed to score0/52/5
Head-to-head · last 6
1
SEV wins
3
Draws
2
OSA wins
  • LOsasuna 2–1 Sevilla2026-04-26 · La Liga3 gls
  • WSevilla 1–0 Osasuna2025-11-08 · La Liga1 gls
  • LOsasuna 1–0 Sevilla2025-04-24 · La Liga1 gls
  • DSevilla 1–1 Osasuna2024-12-02 · La Liga2 gls
  • DSevilla 1–1 Osasuna2024-01-28 · La Liga2 gls
1.5goals per meeting3/6with both teams scoring1/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

  • FOX Sports (26 Oct): Seville sunny 80F (27C), wind 3 mph WSW
Form
Sevilla LLDLD: no win in five, 7 scored and 14 conceded in that run (1-3 Atlético H, 1-1 Espanyol A, 1-3 Barcelona H, 3-3 Levante A, 1-4 Real Madrid A). Osasuna WLDLL: 2-0 v Racing at home last time, but 2-5 at Betis, 1-1 v Rayo, 0-4 at Atlético, 0-2 v Espanyol at home — leaky,…
History
Regular La Liga opponents meeting twice a season. Last six league meetings: Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla (Apr 2026, HT 0-0), Sevilla 1-0 Osasuna (Nov 2025, HT 0-0), Osasuna 1-0 Sevilla (Apr 2025, HT 1-0), Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna (Dec 2024), Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna (Jan 2024, HT 1-0), Osasuna 0-0 Sevilla (Sep 2023). Osasuna lead the recent run 2W-3D-1L and 5-4 on aggregate — tight, low-scoring games. Statistically Sevilla are the bigger club (24-16-17 all-time per FBref) but in 2025-26 they finished below Osasun…
The competition
Spanish La Liga (Primera División), 2026/27 season, Matchday 10 — an ordinary league round, not a cup. Sevilla sit 6th on 14 pts from 9 (4W 2D 3L, 14 GF / 16 GA) and are chasing the European places after a 4-1 loss at Real Madrid; Osasuna are 12th on 11 pts from 9 (3W 2D 4L, 10 GF / 18 GA). Both sides have played just 9 games, so it is early-season points rather than a decisive match. Sevilla are the home favourite.

Team news

Sevilla
  • Marcão — out (def)
  • Miguel Sierra — out (mid)
  • Giorgi Kochorashvili — doubtful (mid)
  • Jon Guridi — doubtful (mid)
  • Lucas Stassin — doubtful (fwd)
Osasuna
  • Aimar Oroz — out (mid)
  • Romain Del Castillo — out (fwd)
  • Jorge Herrando — out (def)
  • Asier Bonel — doubtful (fwd)

Spanish La Liga table

Spanish La Liga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1FC Barcelona9—27
2Atlético Madrid10—25
3Real Madrid9—21
4Real Betis9—19
5Real Sociedad9—16
6Sevilla9—14

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Sevilla 51%, the draw 25% and Osasuna 24%.

What is the best bet for Sevilla vs Osasuna?

Our tip is Full time result · Sevilla at 1.96. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Sevilla vs Osasuna kick off?

Sevilla vs Osasuna kicks off at Mon 20:00 in the Spanish La Liga.

Who is out for Sevilla vs Osasuna?

Reported absences: Marcão (out), Miguel Sierra (out), Giorgi Kochorashvili (doubtful), Jon Guridi (doubtful), Lucas Stassin (doubtful), Aimar Oroz (out), Romain Del Castillo (out), Jorge Herrando (out), Asier Bonel (doubtful).

What happened the last time Sevilla vs Osasuna met?

Osasuna 2–1 Sevilla (2026-04-26 · La Liga). Over their last 6 meetings it is 1 wins for Sevilla, 3 draws and 2 for Osasuna.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.