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Peruvian Primera Division

Sport Huancayo vs Melgar prediction, tips and odds

Melgar have scored and conceded in all five of their last five, and visit a Huancayo side that has won four of five at home with the Clausura's second place on the line.
  • both score
  • high stakes
  • even match
  • high ceiling
  • league
  • Sport Huancayo: high
  • Melgar: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Peruvian Primera Division

Our prediction

Sport Huancayo
11th · 48 pts
FormL, W, W, W, W
Melgar
6th · 56 pts
FormD, W, W, D, D
Our prediction
1–12.9 goals projected
SPO 44%Draw 26%MEL 30%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Melgar come throughOur pickDraw or Away
    1.77
  • Sport Huancayo come throughOur pickHome or Draw
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
SPO 44%Draw 26%MEL 30%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 2–19%
  • 1–09%
Projected goals
2.9
Likeliest at half time
0–027%
Competition goals a game
2.60
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Sport Huancayo against Melgar
StatSPOMELTotal
GoalsLeague 1.391.641.292.9

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Sport HuancayoL, W, W, W, W
MelgarD, W, W, D, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendSPOMEL
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored3/55/5
Clean sheets1/50/5
Failed to score1/50/5

Match context

Form
Huancayo: four straight wins then a 2-0 loss at Juan Pablo II; strong at home (4-1, 2-1). Melgar: unbeaten in five but drawing a lot (1-1 CU, 2-2 Universitario, 1-1 Sport Boys), 10 scored / 7 conceded in those five.
The competition
Liga 1 2026, Clausura round 15 (Jornada 15) — a single league leg, not a knockout. Sport Huancayo sit 2nd in the Clausura (P14, 28 pts) and Melgar 4th (P14, 25 pts) with eight rounds of the short tournament left, so both are chasing the Clausura title/playoff places; on the 31-round accumulated table Melgar are 3rd (54 pts) and Huancayo mid-table, so both have stakes. Nothing suggests a dead rubber.

Team news

Sport Huancayo

No absences reported.

Melgar

No absences reported.

Peruvian Primera Division table and leaders

Peruvian Primera Division standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Universitario35—79
2Cusco FC35—70
3Alianza Lima35—68
4Sporting Cristal35—63
5Alianza Atlético35—57
6FBC Melgar35—56

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Facundo CallejoCusco FC25 goals

Scorers from Wikipedia 2025 Liga 1 page; clean sheets from FBref 2025 Liga 1 (Britos). Assists board not reached.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Sport Huancayo vs Melgar prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Sport Huancayo 44%, the draw 26% and Melgar 30%.

What is the best bet for Sport Huancayo vs Melgar?

Our tip is Draw or Away at 1.77. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Sport Huancayo vs Melgar kick off?

Sport Huancayo vs Melgar kicks off at Mon 16:00 in the Peruvian Primera Division.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.