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Portuguese League Cup

Sporting Lisbon vs Maritimo prediction, tips and odds

Unbeaten in eight, Sporting host a Marítimo side that has shipped five and lost five straight without a win, with a January semi-final at stake.
  • goals fest
  • high ceiling
  • one sided
  • high stakes
  • cup
  • Leg single
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Portuguese League Cup

Our prediction

Sporting Lisbon
FormW, W, W, W, D
Maritimo
FormL, L, D, L, L
Our prediction
3–04.1 goals projected
SPO 94%Draw 5%MAR 1%
likeliest half-time score
1–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Sporting Lisbon come throughOur pickSporting Lisbon · Draw no bet
    1.38
  • Sporting Lisbon win it clearlyOur pickSporting Lisbon starts 1 goal behind
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
SPO 94%Draw 5%MAR 1%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 3–014%
  • 4–013%
  • 2–011%
Projected goals
4.1
Likeliest at half time
1–026%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Sporting Lisbon against Maritimo
StatSPOMARTotal
Goals3.720.394.1

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Sporting LisbonW, W, W, W, D
MaritimoL, L, D, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendSPOMAR
Over 2.5 goals2/54/5
Both teams scored2/54/5
Clean sheets3/50/5
Failed to score0/51/5

Match context

Form
Sporting unbeaten and scoring freely (four straight wins before a 2-2 draw with Arouca in September, 3rd in the league); Marítimo poor, winless in five with a 0-5 loss at Vitória SC.
The competition
Taça da Liga (Portuguese League Cup) 2026/27, quarter-final — a one-off knockout tie, not a league round. Reported quarter-final lineup confirmed in May 2026 and listed for 27 Oct 2026, so both clubs are two wins from the final. Sporting are 3rd in the Primeira Liga (unbeaten in 8); Marítimo are 12th-14th and winless-ish in poor form, with a heavy 0-5 defeat at Vitória SC on 23 Oct.

Team news

Sporting Lisbon

No absences reported.

Maritimo

No absences reported.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Sporting Lisbon vs Maritimo prediction?

We project 3–0. Our model gives Sporting Lisbon 94%, the draw 5% and Maritimo 1%.

What is the best bet for Sporting Lisbon vs Maritimo?

Our tip is Full time result · Sporting Lisbon at 1.38. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Sporting Lisbon vs Maritimo kick off?

Sporting Lisbon vs Maritimo kicks off at Tue 20:15 in the Portuguese League Cup.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.