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English Football League Cup

Sunderland vs Brentford prediction, tips and odds

  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Sunderland: normal
  • Brentford: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
English Football League Cup

Our prediction

FormD, D, L, L, L

Wilson Isidor (doubtful), Thomas Meunier (doubtful), Daniel Ballard (out), Romaine Mundle (out)

FormD, L, D, W, W

Rico Henry (out), Kaye Furo (out), Josh Dasilva (out), Antoni Milambo (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–12.5 goals projected
SUN 28%Draw 26%BRE 46%
goals per meeting
3.2goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
3/5with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
3/5over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    1.17
  • Sunderland keep it closeOur pickSunderland starts 2 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
SUN 28%Draw 26%BRE 46%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–113%
  • 0–112%
  • 1–29%
Projected goals
2.5
Likeliest at half time
0–033%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Sunderland against Brentford
StatSUNBRETotal
Goals1.061.432.5
Expected goals (xG)1.541.693.2
Corners4.594.198.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
SunderlandD, D, L, L, L
BrentfordD, L, D, W, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendSUNBRE
Over 2.5 goals1/54/5
Both teams scored2/54/5
Clean sheets1/51/5
Failed to score3/50/5
Head-to-head · last 5
1
SUN wins
2
Draws
2
BRE wins
  • DBrentford 1–1 Sunderland2026-09-05 · Premier League2 gls
  • LBrentford 3–0 Sunderland2026-01-07 · Premier League3 gls
  • WSunderland 2–1 Brentford2025-08-30 · Premier League3 gls
  • LSunderland 0–2 Brentford2018-02-17 · EFL Championship2 gls
  • DBrentford 3–3 Sunderland2017-10-21 · EFL Championship6 gls
3.2goals per meeting3/5with both teams scoring3/5over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Sunderland WLDLL (all comps): 3 goals at Man City but blank in last two league games (0-2 Brighton, 0-0 Leeds); Brentford WDWL(W): 2-2 at Villa and Hull, 3-0 over Chelsea, 1-2 loss to Liverpool. Both cup wins tight: Sunderland 1-0 Hull (HT 0-0), Brentford 2-1 at Reading.
History
Both are established Premier League clubs now — Brentford the longer-serving, upwardly-mobile side (top-10 finishes, and unbeaten early in 2026/27), Sunderland back in the top flight since 2025/26 and holding their own. Recent league meetings are tight: Brentford 1-1 Sunderland (Sep 2026, HT 0-0), Brentford 3-0 Sunderland (Jan 2026, HT 1-0), Sunderland 2-1 Brentford (Aug 2025, HT 0-0) and, in the Championship, Sunderland 0-2 Brentford (Feb 2018, HT 0-2) and Brentford 3-3 Sunderland (Oct 2017, H…
The competition
Carabao Cup (EFL Cup) 2026-27 FOURTH ROUND, single-leg knockout tie at the Stadium of Light; the winner reaches the quarter-finals. Both sides are Premier League clubs: Brentford are 6th (unbeaten away in the league) and chasing a third straight quarter-final, having beaten Birmingham 6-1 and Reading 2-1 away in rounds 2 and 3. Sunderland are 20th and bottom of the league (1W-2D-5L) but unbeaten in the Europa League; they entered in round 3 via the UEFA exemption and beat Hull City 1-0 at home.…

Team news

Sunderland
  • Wilson Isidor — doubtful (fwd)
  • Thomas Meunier — doubtful (def)
  • Daniel Ballard — out (def)
  • Romaine Mundle — out (mid)
Brentford
  • Rico Henry — out (def)
  • Kaye Furo — out (fwd)
  • Josh Dasilva — out (mid)
  • Antoni Milambo — doubtful (mid)

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Sunderland vs Brentford prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Sunderland 28%, the draw 26% and Brentford 46%.

What is the best bet for Sunderland vs Brentford?

Our tip is Full time · Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17.

What time does Sunderland vs Brentford kick off?

Sunderland vs Brentford kicks off at Wed 19:45 in the English Football League Cup.

Who is out for Sunderland vs Brentford?

Reported absences: Rico Henry (out), Kaye Furo (out), Josh Dasilva (out), Antoni Milambo (doubtful), Wilson Isidor (doubtful), Thomas Meunier (doubtful), Daniel Ballard (out), Romaine Mundle (out).

What happened the last time Sunderland vs Brentford met?

Brentford 1–1 Sunderland (2026-09-05 · Premier League). Over their last 5 meetings it is 1 wins for Sunderland, 2 draws and 2 for Brentford.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.