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French Ligue 1

Toulouse vs ESTAC Troyes prediction, tips and odds

Toulouse, 11th, host winless Troyes after conceding 2, 2, 6 and 3 in Troyes' last four, with the board's 6.5-goal ladder and Under 5.5 at 1.09
  • goals fest
  • high ceiling
  • open game
  • one sided
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
French Ligue 1

Our prediction

Toulouse
11th · 9 pts
FormW, L, L, L
ESTAC Troyes
17th · 4 pts
FormL, L, L, W, D
Our prediction
2–03.0 goals projected
TOU 62%Draw 21%EST 17%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Toulouse come throughOur pickToulouse · Draw no bet
    1.66
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
TOU 62%Draw 21%EST 17%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 2–010%
  • 1–010%
  • 2–110%
Projected goals
3.0
Likeliest at half time
0–026%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Toulouse against ESTAC Troyes
StatTOUESTTotal
Goals2.010.963.0

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
ToulouseW, L, L, L
ESTAC TroyesL, L, L, W, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendTOUEST
Over 2.5 goals3/43/5
Both teams scored1/44/5
Clean sheets1/40/5
Failed to score2/41/5

Match context

Form
Toulouse: L-L-W-D-W-ish last five per club site (3-0 win at Le Mans latest), but 0-3 home loss to PSG and 2-3 cup exit at Pau; Troyes winless since late Aug (1W 1D 5L overall) — 1-3 v Lens, 0-2 v Marseille, 2-6 v Strasbourg, 2-1 win at Lorient, 1-1 v Paris FC.
The competition
French Ligue 1 2026/27, Matchweek 8 (league round), single match — Toulouse are 11th (9 pts after 7-8 games) with recent losses to PSG and Le Mans but a 3-0 win at Le Mans in MW7; Troyes are 17th on 4 pts and winless in six before a 1-3 home loss to Lens. Note: the fixture was moved from Sat 24 Oct to Sun 25 Oct 17:15 (local) at the prefecture's request amid unrest in France.

Team news

Toulouse

No absences reported.

ESTAC Troyes

No absences reported.

French Ligue 1 table

French Ligue 1 standings
#ClubPLGDPts
11Toulouse7—9
17ESTAC Troyes7—4

as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Toulouse vs ESTAC Troyes prediction?

We project 2–0. Our model gives Toulouse 62%, the draw 21% and ESTAC Troyes 17%.

What is the best bet for Toulouse vs ESTAC Troyes?

Our tip is Full time result · Toulouse at 1.66. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Toulouse vs ESTAC Troyes kick off?

Toulouse vs ESTAC Troyes kicks off at Sun 16:15 in the French Ligue 1.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.