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Irish Division 1

UCD vs Longford prediction, tips and odds

UCD lead Longford 2-0 into the play-off semi-final second leg, with the away side needing two goals and UCD's last five producing 23.
  • goals fest
  • high ceiling
  • high stakes
  • second leg decided
  • playoff
  • Leg second
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Irish Division 1

Our prediction

UCD
2nd · 56 pts
FormW, W, W, L, L
Longford
5th · 52 pts
FormL, W, D, D, L
Our prediction
2–03.4 goals projected
UCD 70%Draw 17%LON 13%
likeliest half-time score
1–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • UCD come throughOur pickHome or Draw
    Price hidden until revealed
  • UCD avoid defeatOur pickUCD starts 1 goal ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
UCD 70%Draw 17%LON 13%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 2–010%
  • 2–19%
  • 3–08%
Projected goals
3.4
Likeliest at half time
1–024%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for UCD against Longford
StatUCDLONTotal
Goals2.470.973.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
UCDW, W, W, L, L
LongfordL, W, D, D, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendUCDLON
Over 2.5 goals4/52/5
Both teams scored3/53/5
Clean sheets2/51/5
Failed to score0/51/5

Match context

  • First leg 24 Oct 2026: Longford Town 0-2 UCD (HT 0-1). UCD lead 2-0 on aggregate.
Form
UCD: 2-0 W at Longford (play-off), 5-2 W at Wexford, 1-3 home L v Bray, 4-0 W at Treaty, 1-5 L at Cork — 4W 1L, 13 scored 10 conceded. Longford: 0-2 home L v UCD (play-off), 1-0 W v Athlone, 1-1 at UCD, 3-3 at Wexford, 1-2 L v Cork.
The competition
League of Ireland First Division (Ireland's second tier, tier-3 house grade). This 27 Oct fixture is the SECOND LEG of the First Division promotion play-off semi-final; UCD won the first leg 2-0 away at Longford on 24 Oct (HT 0-1). UCD finished 2nd (56 pts), Longford 5th (52 pts) in the 36-game regular season — a one-off tie for a promotion-final place.

Team news

UCD

No absences reported.

Longford

No absences reported.

Irish Division 1 table

Irish Division 1 standings
#ClubPLGDPts
2UCD36—56
5Longford36—52

as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our UCD vs Longford prediction?

We project 2–0. Our model gives UCD 70%, the draw 17% and Longford 13%.

What is the best bet for UCD vs Longford?

Our tip is Full time result · UCD at 2.08. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does UCD vs Longford kick off?

UCD vs Longford kicks off at Tue 19:45 in the Irish Division 1.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.