UD Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC prediction, tips and odds
- both score
- one sided
- high stakes
- rotation risk
- high ceiling
- cup
- Leg single
- UD Poblense: high
- AD Ceuta FC: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Spanish Copa del Rey
Our prediction
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- AD Ceuta FC come throughOur pickAD Ceuta FC1.79
- UD Poblense keep it closeOur pickUD Poblense starts 2 goals aheadPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 2–011%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- Projected goals
- 3.1
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–025%
| Stat | UD | AD | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.22 | 0.9 | 3.1 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | UD | AD |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 5/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 0/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 0/5 |
Match context
- sa Pobla 28 Oct: sunny spells, ~22C, 4% rain, NNE wind 15-25 mph; nothing flagged as problematic.
- Form
- Poblense: W 1-0 Peña, D 2-2 Yeclano, W 2-1 Castellón B, L 1-2 At. Baleares, L 0-2 Alcoyano — strong at home, losing away. Ceuta: L 1-3 Cádiz, L 1-2 Oviedo, L 1-2 Sabadell, D 1-1 Castellón, W 3-1 Sociedad B — scoring every game but leaking 2+ in four of five.
- History
- No verifiable prior senior meeting found: FootyStats' H2H page explicitly states "These two clubs have never met before domestically... no previous head to head stats" and classifies this as their first meeting. One AD Ceuta club news item (undated in the excerpt, mixed in with 2022/2026 posts) references ticketing for "UD Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC – Primera eliminatoria Copa de S.M. el Rey", which I could NOT confirm as an earlier 2022/23 cup tie or its score, so no earlier meeting is recorded.…
- The competition
- Copa del Rey 2026/27, first round (single leg, extra time if level, at the lower-division side's ground). Poblense (Segunda Federación Group 3, 4th tier) host AD Ceuta (LaLiga Hypermotion, 2nd tier), who sit 21st in the second division after 11 rounds — weak league form but 4 pts from their last three. Poblense are mid-table in Group 3 (10th after 8 rounds, 10 pts). Second-tier side favoured; Poblense's hope is home form.
Team news
No absences reported.
No absences reported.
Spanish Copa del Rey table
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 11 | — | 5 |
| 10 | UD Poblense | 8 | — | 10 |
as read when this competition was last scouted.
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Frequently asked questions
What is our UD Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC prediction?
We project 2–0. Our model gives UD Poblense 67%, the draw 19% and AD Ceuta FC 14%.
What is the best bet for UD Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our tip is Full time result · AD Ceuta FC at 1.79. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does UD Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC kick off?
UD Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC kicks off at Wed 18:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.