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Australian A-League Men

Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction, tips and odds

Both sides opened the season with multi-goal games containing first-half goals, and Wellington's pre-season included a 5-1 loss to these Mariners.
  • goals fest
  • high ceiling
  • both score
  • open game
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Australian A-League Men

Our prediction

Wellington Phoenix
3rd · 3 pts
FormW
FormD
Our prediction
1–13.0 goals projected
WEL 56%Draw 22%CEN 22%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Wellington Phoenix come throughOur pickWellington Phoenix · Draw no bet
    1.77
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
WEL 56%Draw 22%CEN 22%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–110%
  • 2–110%
  • 1–010%
Projected goals
3.0
Likeliest at half time
0–026%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Wellington Phoenix against Central Coast Mariners
StatWELCENTotal
Goals1.891.13.0

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Wellington PhoenixW
Central Coast MarinersD
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendWELCEN
Over 2.5 goals1/11/1
Both teams scored1/11/1
Clean sheets0/10/1
Failed to score0/10/1

Match context

Form
Only one competitive match each this season: Wellington beat Melbourne Victory 2-1 at home (HT 1-1); Central Coast drew 2-2 at home with Newcastle Jets (HT 1-0) in the F3 Derby.
The competition
A-League Men (Australia's top flight, 2026-27 season) — Round 2 league fixture, single match. Both sides opened the season last week: Wellington beat Melbourne Victory 2-1 at home; Central Coast drew 2-2 with Newcastle Jets at home in the F3 Derby. Nothing on the pages read states anything beyond normal early-season stakes.

Team news

Wellington Phoenix

No absences reported.

Central Coast Mariners

No absences reported.

Australian A-League Men table

Australian A-League Men standings
#ClubPLGDPts
3Wellington Phoenix1—3
7Central Coast Mariners1—1

as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Wellington Phoenix 56%, the draw 22% and Central Coast Mariners 22%.

What is the best bet for Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?

Our tip is Full time result · Wellington Phoenix at 1.77. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners kick off?

Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners kicks off at Sun 02:00 in the Australian A-League Men.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.