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Spanish Copa del Rey

Amorebieta vs UD Logrones prediction, tips and odds

Logroñés, second in the tier above with 20 goals in 10, visit fourth-tier Amorebieta without injured top scorer Anai Morales and suspended Latif Issman, with rotation expected before the Ferrol trip.
  • one sided
  • weakened side
  • high stakes
  • slow start
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Amorebieta: high
  • UD Logrones: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

Amorebieta
5th · 16 pts
FormW, W, W, L, W
UD Logrones
FormL, W, D, L, W

Latif Issman (out), Mario Maroto (out), Anai Morales (doubtful), Miguel Barandalla (out)

Our prediction
1–12.7 goals projected
AMO 30%Draw 28%UD 42%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

goals per meeting
2.3goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
4/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
2/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Amorebieta keep it closeOur pickAmorebieta starts 1 goal ahead
    1.23
  • Amorebieta come throughOur pickHome or Draw
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
AMO 30%Draw 28%UD 42%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 1–011%
  • 2–110%
Projected goals
2.7
Likeliest at half time
0–030%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Amorebieta against UD Logrones
StatAMOUD Total
Goals1.611.052.7
Corners4.185.139.3

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
AmorebietaW, W, W, L, W
UD LogronesL, W, D, L, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendAMOUD
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored3/54/5
Clean sheets2/50/5
Failed to score0/51/5
Head-to-head · last 6
3
AMO wins
2
Draws
1
UD wins
  • LUD Logroñés 4–1 Amorebieta2026-01-18 · Segunda Federación Group 25 gls
  • WAmorebieta 2–1 UD Logroñés2025-10-18 · Segunda Federación Group 23 gls
  • WAmorebieta 1–0 UD Logroñés2023-04-23 · Primera Federación Group 21 gls
  • DUD Logroñés 1–1 Amorebieta2022-11-27 · Primera Federación Group 22 gls
  • WAmorebieta 1–0 UD Logroñés2020-12-16 · Copa del Rey1 gls
2.3goals per meeting4/6with both teams scoring2/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Amorebieta WWLWW (last 5 league games, all tight — 1-0, 2-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0); UD Logroñés LWD LW — 3-1 loss at Lugo and 0-1 home to Mirandés, but 5-3 at Mérida and 3-1 at Avilés show a high-scoring side.
History
Frequent lower-league rivals — 16-18 meetings since 2011, mostly Segunda B / Segunda Federación, plus one previous Copa del Rey tie (Amorebieta 1-0, Dec 2020). UD Logroñés lead the overall series (about 7 wins to 5, 4 draws). Recent league meetings are close: Logroñés 4-1 (Jan 2026), Amorebieta 2-1 (Oct 2025), Amorebieta 1-0 (Apr 2023), Logroñés 1-1 (Nov 2022). Stature: near-equals at this level — Logroñés (founded 2009) spent 2020-21 in Segunda División but are now in Primera Federación (tier…
The competition
Spanish Copa del Rey, 2026-27 season. Both clubs enter at the early knockout rounds, which pair sides from different divisions in single-leg ties decided on the night (extra time/penalties), so rotation is routine and the fixture sits mid-week between league games. Amorebieta are a fourth-tier side — Segunda Federación Group 1, 5th (9 games, 16 pts, 11:8) after a 1-0 win over Gimnástica Torrelavega on 1 Nov. UD Logroñés are a division above in Primera Federación Group 1, 2nd (10 games, 20 pts,…

Team news

Amorebieta

No absences reported.

UD Logrones
  • Latif Issman — out (mid)
  • Mario Maroto — out (mid)
  • Anai Morales — doubtful (mid)
  • Miguel Barandalla — out (def)

Spanish Copa del Rey table

Spanish Copa del Rey standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Sestao River9—22
2Deportivo Alavés B9—20
3Bergantiños9—18
4Eibar B9—17
5Amorebieta9—16
6Compostela9—14

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Amorebieta vs UD Logrones prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Amorebieta 30%, the draw 28% and UD Logrones 42%.

What is the best bet for Amorebieta vs UD Logrones?

Our tip is Amorebieta starts 1 goal ahead at 1.23.

What time does Amorebieta vs UD Logrones kick off?

Amorebieta vs UD Logrones kicks off at Wed 19:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for Amorebieta vs UD Logrones?

Reported absences: Latif Issman (out), Mario Maroto (out), Anai Morales (doubtful), Miguel Barandalla (out).

What happened the last time Amorebieta vs UD Logrones met?

UD Logroñés 4–1 Amorebieta (2026-01-18 · Segunda Federación Group 2). Over their last 6 meetings it is 3 wins for Amorebieta, 2 draws and 1 for UD Logrones.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.