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Spanish Copa del Rey

Club Portugalete vs Real Union prediction, tips and odds

Fourth-tier Portugalete, who have won every home league meeting with Real Unión, host the third-tier side in a single-leg Copa del Rey first round
  • no strong shape
  • high stakes
  • rotation risk
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Club Portugalete: high
  • Real Union: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

Club Portugalete
9th · 13 pts
FormD, D, D, W, L
Real Union
11th · 13 pts
FormL, W, D, D, D
Our prediction
1–12.6 goals projected
CLU 30%Draw 29%REA 41%
goals per meeting
3.0goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
3/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
3/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals
    1.37
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
CLU 30%Draw 29%REA 41%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 0–110%
  • 1–09%
Projected goals
2.6
Likeliest at half time
0–031%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Club Portugalete against Real Union
StatCLUREATotal
Goals1.21.42.6
Corners4.873.738.6

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Club PortugaleteD, D, D, W, L
Real UnionL, W, D, D, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendCLUREA
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored3/53/5
Clean sheets1/51/5
Failed to score2/52/5
Head-to-head · last 6
2
CLU wins
1
Draws
3
REA wins
  • DReal Unión 1–1 Club Portugalete2025-08-09 · Friendly2 gls
  • WClub Portugalete 2–0 Real Unión2021-03-21 · Segunda División B / Primera RFEF Group 22 gls
  • LReal Unión 2–1 Club Portugalete2020-12-20 · Segunda División B / Primera RFEF Group 23 gls
  • WClub Portugalete 1–0 Real Unión2016-05-08 · Segunda División B Group 21 gls
  • LReal Unión 3–2 Club Portugalete2015-12-19 · Segunda División B Group 25 gls
3.0goals per meeting3/6with both teams scoring3/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

  • One preview page listed light rain at La Florida; no source flagged conditions as significant.
  • Single-match first round tie (Copa del Rey Mapfre 1st Round / round of 128); no second leg.
Form
Portugalete DDDWL (3-3 Arosa, 2-2 Basconia, 0-0 Eibar B, 2-1 Amorebieta, 0-2 Alavés B) — low-scoring, drawing habit; Real Unión LDWDD (0-3 Avilés, 4-1 Lugo, 2-2 Extremadura, 0-0 Athletic B, 1-1 Ourense) — goals at both ends, winless in four.
History
Frequent regional rivals: 8 meetings since 2005 across Segunda B/Primera RFEF, one Copa del Rey tie (2005) and one friendly (Aug 2025, Real Unión 1-1 Portugalete). Recent competitive league meetings were 2020/21 (Real Unión 2-1 at home, Portugalete 2-0 at La Florida) — Portugalete have won all four home league games vs Real Unión and Real Unión all three home ones. Level gap is one division now and Real Unión are the bigger club (four-time Copa del Rey winners, 1ª RFEF) vs Portugalete in Segund…
The competition
Copa del Rey 2026/27, first round (single leg, 112 clubs drawn 5 Oct; originally 28 Oct, moved to Wed 4 Nov 19:00 at Estadio La Florida, Portugalete). A top-flight cup, but this tie is a 4th-tier host v a 3rd-tier visitor: Portugalete are 9th of 18 in Segunda Federación Gr.1 (13 pts from 9, 12:12) with no promotion or relegation pressure yet and a midweek league game just played; Real Unión are 11th of 20 in Primera Federación Gr.1 (13 pts from 10, 19:17), promotion-race outsiders. Straight kno…

Team news

Club Portugalete

No absences reported.

Real Union

No absences reported.

Spanish Copa del Rey table

Spanish Copa del Rey standings
#ClubPLGDPts
9Club Portugalete (Segunda Federación Gr.1)9—13
11Real Union de Irun (Primera Federación Gr.1)10—13
1Sestao River (Segunda Fed. Gr.1)9—22
2Deportivo Alavés B (Segunda Fed. Gr.1)9—20
3Bergantiños CF (Segunda Fed. Gr.1)9—18
4Eibar B (Segunda Fed. Gr.1)9—17

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Club Portugalete vs Real Union prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Club Portugalete 30%, the draw 29% and Real Union 41%.

What is the best bet for Club Portugalete vs Real Union?

Our tip is Full time · Over 1.5 Goals at 1.37. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Club Portugalete vs Real Union kick off?

Club Portugalete vs Real Union kicks off at Wed 18:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

What happened the last time Club Portugalete vs Real Union met?

Real Unión 1–1 Club Portugalete (2025-08-09 · Friendly). Over their last 6 meetings it is 2 wins for Club Portugalete, 1 draw and 3 for Real Union.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.