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UEFA Europa League

Bournemouth vs AC Milan prediction, tips and odds

  • league
  • Bournemouth: high
  • AC Milan: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
UEFA Europa League

Our prediction

Bournemouth
10th · 6 pts
FormW, W, L, L, D

Alex Scott (out), Junior Kroupi (out), Julián Araujo (out)

AC Milan
16th · 3 pts
FormW, W, D, W, L

Gonçalo Ramos (out), Samuel Chukwueze (out), Matteo Gabbia (out), Alexis Saelemaekers (out), Filippo Terracciano (out)

Our prediction
1–12.7 goals projected
BOU 47%Draw 25%AC 28%
goals per meeting
3.0goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
1/1with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
1/1over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Bournemouth come throughOur pickBournemouth
    1.83
  • AC Milan keep it closeOur pickAC Milan starts 2 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
BOU 47%Draw 25%AC 28%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 1–011%
  • 2–19%
Projected goals
2.7
Likeliest at half time
0–030%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Bournemouth against AC Milan
StatBOUAC Total
Goals1.551.142.7

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
BournemouthW, W, L, L, D
AC MilanW, W, D, W, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendBOUAC
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored2/52/5
Clean sheets2/52/5
Failed to score1/51/5
Head-to-head · last 1
0
BOU wins
0
Draws
1
AC wins
  • LAFC Bournemouth 1–2 AC Milan2016-09-03 · Club Friendlies3 gls
3.0goals per meeting1/1with both teams scoring1/1over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Bournemouth WWLLD: 3-0 and 2-0 home wins either side of a 5-1 Chelsea thrashing, but only one PL win all season and 13 conceded in 7; Milan WWDLW, scoring 3, 4 and 3 in their last three wins (Benfica 0-2 the blemish), with three of five matches producing 3+ goals.
History
No meaningful competitive history: Bournemouth and AC Milan have met only once, a club friendly at the Vitality Stadium on 3 Sep 2016, Milan winning 1-2 (0-0 at half-time). No league, cup or European meeting exists, so nothing here speaks to a competitive h2h pattern. On stature, Milan are the far bigger club (Serie A, Champions League pedigree) but are below par in this 2026/27 Europa League campaign (3 pts, W-L, lost 0-2 at home to Benfica), while Bournemouth are Premier League hosts who qual…
The competition
UEFA Europa League 2026/27 league phase (36 teams, single table), Matchday 3. Both sides are in their maiden/returning European campaigns: Bournemouth sit mid-table (10th after MD1 per BBC) on 6 pts from 2 wins (2-0-0), Milan 16th on 3 pts (1-0-1) after losing 0-2 at home to Benfica then winning 4-0 at Salzburg. Bournemouth are poor domestically (15th in the Premier League, 6 pts from 7, W1 D3 L3) which raises rotation questions in a congested week; Milan are unbeaten in Serie A (3-2-0 after MD…

Team news

Bournemouth
  • Alex Scott — out (mid)
  • Junior Kroupi — out (fwd)
  • Julián Araujo — out (def)
AC Milan
  • Gonçalo Ramos — out (fwd)
  • Samuel Chukwueze — out (fwd)
  • Matteo Gabbia — out (def)
  • Alexis Saelemaekers — out (mid)
  • Filippo Terracciano — out (def)

UEFA Europa League table

UEFA Europa League standings
#ClubPLGDPts
16AC Milan2—3
10Bournemouth2—6

as read when this competition was last scouted.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Bournemouth vs AC Milan prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Bournemouth 47%, the draw 25% and AC Milan 28%.

What is the best bet for Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

Our tip is Full time result · Bournemouth at 1.83. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Bournemouth vs AC Milan kick off?

Bournemouth vs AC Milan kicks off at Thu 19:00 in the UEFA Europa League.

Who is out for Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

Reported absences: Gonçalo Ramos (out), Samuel Chukwueze (out), Matteo Gabbia (out), Alexis Saelemaekers (out), Filippo Terracciano (out), Alex Scott (out), Junior Kroupi (out), Julián Araujo (out).

What happened the last time Bournemouth vs AC Milan met?

AFC Bournemouth 1–2 AC Milan (2016-09-03 · Club Friendlies). Over their last 1 meetings it is 0 wins for Bournemouth, 0 draws and 1 for AC Milan.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.