CD Covadonga vs Valladolid prediction, tips and odds
- cup
- Leg single
- CD Covadonga: high
- Valladolid: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Spanish Copa del Rey
Our prediction
Miguel Rubio (doubtful), Luis Chacón (doubtful), Dani Pérez (doubtful)
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals1.03
- Valladolid come throughOur pickDraw or AwayPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
- 0–113%
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- Projected goals
- 2.6
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–031%
| Stat | CD | VAL | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 | 1.66 | 2.6 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | CD | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| Both teams scored | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| Clean sheets | 3/5 | 0/5 |
| Failed to score | 0/5 | 1/5 |
Match context
- Asturias forecast around 13°C at El Bayu; artificial pitch (Valladolid trained on artificial turf to adapt)
- Form
- Covadonga WWLWW in Tercera RFEF Grp. 2 (14 goals in 5, two 4-0 wins, but 4-2 loss at San Martín); Valladolid LDWDL in Segunda — 3-1 win over Córdoba then 2-2 at Las Palmas and 1-2 at Granada, scoring but leaking goals (16-16 in 11).
- History
- No meaningful recent history: CD Covadonga (Tercera RFEF Group 2 leaders, Asturias) and Real Valladolid (LaLiga Hypermotion side, former top-flight club with ~2,800 home games' worth of Primera pedigree) have never met at senior first-team level — scores24 states "Covadonga y Real Valladolid no tienen historial de partidos H2H", and Valladolid's own preview frames this first-round Copa tie as their competitive debut against an unbeaten Tercera side. The only prior link is between Covadonga and…
- The competition
- Copa del Rey 2026-27, first round (single-leg knockout, no second leg): a Segunda División (tier 2) side, Real Valladolid, away at Tercera RFEF Grupo 2 leaders CD Covadonga on 29 Oct 2026 (postponed from the original 27-28 Oct slot after the Toledo train accident). Home advantage goes to the lower-division club under RFEF rules. Valladolid sit 15th in LaLiga Hypermotion (11 pts, 16-16), mid-table and chasing a promotion push, while Covadonga are unbeaten and second in their group — they are pla…
Team news
No absences reported.
- Miguel Rubio — doubtful (def)
- Luis Chacón — doubtful (unknown)
- Dani Pérez — doubtful (unknown)
Spanish Copa del Rey table
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Real Valladolid | 11 | — | 11 |
| 2 | CD Covadonga | 8 | — | 19 |
as read when this competition was last scouted.
More Spanish Copa del Rey tips this weekend
- Numancia vs Oviedo · Full time · Under 3.5 Goals1.29
- Pena Sport vs Huesca · Full time result · Huesca1.77
- Atletico Baleares vs Eldense · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.13
- Coruxo vs Zamora · Full time · Under 3.5 Goals1.26
- UD Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC · UD Poblense starts 2 goals ahead1.25
- Lebrijana vs Getafe · Full time result · Getafe1.05
Frequently asked questions
What is our CD Covadonga vs Valladolid prediction?
We project 0–1. Our model gives CD Covadonga 21%, the draw 24% and Valladolid 55%.
What is the best bet for CD Covadonga vs Valladolid?
Our tip is Full time · Under 5.5 Goals at 1.03.
What time does CD Covadonga vs Valladolid kick off?
CD Covadonga vs Valladolid kicks off at Thu 19:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.
Who is out for CD Covadonga vs Valladolid?
Reported absences: Miguel Rubio (doubtful), Luis Chacón (doubtful), Dani Pérez (doubtful).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.