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Spanish Copa del Rey

Conquense vs CD Castellon prediction, tips and odds

Segunda leaders Castellón, 22-4 after 11 games, visit fourth-tier Conquense in a one-off Copa del Rey first round — but Pablo Hernández plans a much-changed XI.
  • one sided
  • high stakes
  • rotation risk
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Conquense: high
  • CD Castellon: low
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

Conquense
1st · 17 pts
FormW, D, W, L, W
CD Castellon
1st · 26 pts
FormW, W, L, W, W

Camara (out), Juanjo Nieto (out)

Our prediction
0–12.4 goals projected
CON 23%Draw 26%CD 51%
goals per meeting
1.3goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
1/3with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
0/3over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • CD Castellon come throughOur pickCD Castellon
    1.74
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
CON 23%Draw 26%CD 51%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 0–114%
  • 1–112%
  • 0–210%
Projected goals
2.4
Likeliest at half time
0–034%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Conquense against CD Castellon
StatCONCD Total
Goals0.891.482.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
ConquenseW, D, W, L, W
CD CastellonW, W, L, W, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendCONCD
Over 2.5 goals4/53/5
Both teams scored3/50/5
Clean sheets2/54/5
Failed to score0/51/5
Head-to-head · last 3
0
CON wins
1
Draws
2
CD wins
  • DUB Conquense 1–1 CD Castellón2019-05-12 · Segunda División B Grupo III2 gls
  • LCD Castellón 1–0 UB Conquense2018-12-22 · Segunda División B Grupo III1 gls
  • LCD Castellón 1–0 UB Conquense2018-09-05 · Copa del Rey (1st round)1 gls
1.3goals per meeting1/3with both teams scoring0/3over 2.5 goals

Match context

  • BetMines preview (28 Oct) lists clear sky at La Fuensanta; no conditions flagged as significant
Form
Conquense WWLWD (4th tier, 18-9 season): 2-0, 2-2, 4-0, 2-3, 3-1 — scoring but leaking. Castellón WLWWW: 4-0, 3-0, 0-1, 2-0, 5-0 — 22-4 in 11 league games, four clean sheets in five.
History
Only 3 official meetings ever, all in 2018 (when both were in Segunda B): Castellón 1-0 Conquense in the Copa del Rey 1st round (05/09/2018, at Castalia), Castellón 1-0 Conquense in the league (22/12/2018), and Conquense 1-1 Castellón in the league at La Fuensanta (12/05/2019). No meeting in 7+ years — history is thin and old. Stature gap is now large: Castellón lead LaLiga Hypermotion (Segunda División) after 11 rounds (8W-2D-1L, 22-4), while Conquense are a Segunda Federación (4th tier) side…
The competition
Copa del Rey 2026/27, FIRST ROUND (single-leg knockout, 27–29 Oct 2026; extra time and penalties if level after 90). 112 clubs from seven divisions enter; the lower-division side hosts. Conquense (Segunda Federación Group 5, Spain's 4th tier) are top of their group (1st, 8 played, 17 pts) and host CD Castellón (Segunda División, 2nd tier), who lead LaLiga Hypermotion (1st, 11 played, 26 pts, 22-4). Two divisions separate them; for Conquense it is the biggest game of their season, for Castellón…

Team news

Conquense

No absences reported.

CD Castellon
  • Camara — out (unknown)
  • Juanjo Nieto — out (def)

Spanish Copa del Rey table and leaders

Spanish Copa del Rey standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1CD Castellon11—26
2Almería11—25
3Eibar11—22
14Las Palmas11—14
1Conquense8—17

as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Israel SueroCD Castellon5 goals
  2. 2Ousmane CamaraCD Castellon4 goals

ESPN Castellón team stats 2026/27; no assists or clean-sheet table surfaced

More Spanish Copa del Rey tips this weekend

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Conquense vs CD Castellon prediction?

We project 0–1. Our model gives Conquense 23%, the draw 26% and CD Castellon 51%.

What is the best bet for Conquense vs CD Castellon?

Our tip is Full time result · CD Castellon at 1.74. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Conquense vs CD Castellon kick off?

Conquense vs CD Castellon kicks off at Thu 19:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for Conquense vs CD Castellon?

Reported absences: Camara (out), Juanjo Nieto (out).

What happened the last time Conquense vs CD Castellon met?

UB Conquense 1–1 CD Castellón (2019-05-12 · Segunda División B Grupo III). Over their last 3 meetings it is 0 wins for Conquense, 1 draw and 2 for CD Castellon.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.