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Irish Premier Division

Derry City vs Dundalk prediction, tips and odds

  • league
  • Derry City: normal
  • Dundalk: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Irish Premier Division

Our prediction

Derry City
5th · 44 pts
FormW, L, W
Dundalk
6th · 42 pts
FormD, L, D, L, L
Our prediction
1–02.5 goals projected
DER 52%Draw 25%DUN 23%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Derry City come throughOur pickDerry City
    1.92
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
DER 52%Draw 25%DUN 23%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–012%
  • 1–112%
  • 2–010%
Projected goals
2.5
Likeliest at half time
0–032%
Competition goals a game
2.79
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Derry City against Dundalk
StatDERDUNTotal
Goals1.580.972.5

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Derry CityW, L, W
DundalkD, L, D, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendDERDUN
Over 2.5 goals0/33/5
Both teams scored0/34/5
Clean sheets2/30/5
Failed to score1/31/5

Match context

Form
Derry: W 1-0 v St Pat's (H), L 0-2 at Drogheda, W 2-0 at Galway (FAI Cup SF). Dundalk: D 1-1 at Sligo, L 1-2 v Bohemians (H), D 1-1 at Galway, L 2-3 v Shelbourne (H), L 0-4 v St Pat's (H).
The competition
League of Ireland Premier Division (Republic of Ireland top flight), late-season league round — matchweek 35 of 36, second-to-last round. Derry City sit 5th (44 pts from 34) and Dundalk 6th (42 pts), both mid-table with nothing major left to play for except final placing; Derry are still in the FAI Cup final (v Waterford).

Team news

Derry City

No absences reported.

Dundalk

No absences reported.

Irish Premier Division table

Irish Premier Division standings
#ClubPLGDPts
5Derry City34—44
6Dundalk34—42

as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Derry City vs Dundalk prediction?

We project 1–0. Our model gives Derry City 52%, the draw 25% and Dundalk 23%.

What is the best bet for Derry City vs Dundalk?

Our tip is Full time result · Derry City at 1.92. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Derry City vs Dundalk kick off?

Derry City vs Dundalk kicks off at Fri 18:45 in the Irish Premier Division.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.