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German Cup

Freiburg vs Wolfsburg prediction, tips and odds

  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Freiburg: high
  • Wolfsburg: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
German Cup

Our prediction

Freiburg
3rd · 13 pts
FormL, L, L, W, W

Berkay Yilmaz (doubtful), Florent Muslija (out)

Wolfsburg
4th · 16 pts
FormD, D, W, L, D

Timon Wellenreuther (out), Rogerio (out), Mohammed Amoura (out), Aaron Zehnter (out), Aster Vranckx (out), Christian Eriksen (out), Trevor Benedict (out), Pharell Hensel (out)

Our prediction
2–13.4 goals projected
FRE 54%Draw 21%WOL 25%
goals per meeting
3.2goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
4/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
3/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Freiburg come throughOur pickHome or Draw
    Price hidden until revealed
  • Wolfsburg keep it closeOur pickWolfsburg starts 3.5 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
FRE 54%Draw 21%WOL 25%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 2–110%
  • 1–19%
  • 2–07%
Projected goals
3.4
Likeliest at half time
0–022%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Freiburg against Wolfsburg
StatFREWOLTotal
Goals2.051.343.4
Expected goals (xG)1.741.693.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
FreiburgL, L, L, W, W
WolfsburgD, D, W, L, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendFREWOL
Over 2.5 goals4/53/5
Both teams scored3/54/5
Clean sheets1/50/5
Failed to score1/51/5
Head-to-head · last 6
4
FRE wins
1
Draws
1
WOL wins
  • DSC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg2026-05-03 · Bundesliga2 gls
  • WVfL Wolfsburg 3–4 SC Freiburg2025-12-20 · Bundesliga7 gls
  • WVfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg2025-04-26 · Bundesliga1 gls
  • WSC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg2024-12-13 · Bundesliga5 gls
  • LSC Freiburg 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg2024-04-27 · Bundesliga3 gls
3.2goals per meeting4/6with both teams scoring3/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Freiburg: W W W L L — three straight defeats to Leverkusen, Monaco and Bayern, scoring once in each. Wolfsburg: D L W D D — only one loss in ten, 4-4 at Nürnberg and 5-1 v Darmstadt, scoring freely but leaking goals.
History
Freiburg and Wolfsburg are habitual Bundesliga opponents — frequent, usually close, high-scoring recent games. Last five league meetings: Freiburg 1-1 Wolfsburg (May 2026), Wolfsburg 3-4 Freiburg (Dec 2025), Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg (Apr 2025), Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg (Dec 2024), Freiburg 1-2 Wolfsburg (Apr 2024). Only 2 of the last 5 were decided by more than one goal, and both sides scored in 4 of the 5. No recent cup meeting; the only DFB-Pokal tie found is Wolfsburg's 1-0 win at home in the 20…
The competition
DFB-Pokal 2026/27, 2nd round (Round of 32), single-leg knockout — Bundesliga side Freiburg (3rd, 13 pts after 7) hosting 2. Bundesliga side Wolfsburg (4th, 16 pts after 9, division-best 23 goals). No replays: level after 90 means extra time then penalties, so to-qualify is live. Both are chasing European places in their leagues and treat the cup as a real route to Europe; Wolfsburg have eliminated Freiburg from this competition twice before. Bayern München are holders.

Team news

Freiburg
  • Berkay Yilmaz — doubtful (def)
  • Florent Muslija — out (mid)
Wolfsburg
  • Timon Wellenreuther — out (gk)
  • Rogerio — out (def)
  • Mohammed Amoura — out (fwd)
  • Aaron Zehnter — out (def)
  • Aster Vranckx — out (mid)
  • Christian Eriksen — out (mid)
  • Trevor Benedict — out (unknown)
  • Pharell Hensel — out (unknown)

German Cup table

German Cup standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Bayern Munich7—17
2Borussia Dortmund7—17
3Freiburg7—13
6Werder Bremen7—12
13Paderborn7—8
4Wolfsburg9—16

as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Freiburg vs Wolfsburg prediction?

We project 2–1. Our model gives Freiburg 54%, the draw 21% and Wolfsburg 25%.

What is the best bet for Freiburg vs Wolfsburg?

Our tip is Full time result · Freiburg at 1.65. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Freiburg vs Wolfsburg kick off?

Freiburg vs Wolfsburg kicks off at Wed 17:00 in the German Cup.

Who is out for Freiburg vs Wolfsburg?

Reported absences: Berkay Yilmaz (doubtful), Florent Muslija (out), Timon Wellenreuther (out), Rogerio (out), Mohammed Amoura (out), Aaron Zehnter (out), Aster Vranckx (out), Christian Eriksen (out), Trevor Benedict (out), Pharell Hensel (out).

What happened the last time Freiburg vs Wolfsburg met?

SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg (2026-05-03 · Bundesliga). Over their last 6 meetings it is 4 wins for Freiburg, 1 draw and 1 for Wolfsburg.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.