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German Cup

Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim prediction, tips and odds

Hoffenheim, who have won all four recent meetings with Kiel by a combined 14-5, visit a 2. Bundesliga side for a place in the cup's last 16 — and Kiel's back line is makeshift.
  • high ceiling
  • both score
  • one sided
  • high stakes
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Holstein Kiel: normal
  • Hoffenheim: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
German Cup

Our prediction

Holstein Kiel
13th · 8 pts
FormW, D, L, D, L

Lasse Rosenboom (out), Frederik Roslyng (out), Sebastian Schonlau (out), Giorgi Kvilitaia (out), Kasper Davidsen (out), Taisei Abe (out)

Hoffenheim
10th · 9 pts
FormW, W, L, L

Albian Hajdari (out), Patrick Wimmer (out), Nathan De Cat (out), Bambase Conte (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–23.5 goals projected
HOL 25%Draw 21%HOF 54%
goals per meeting
4.8goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
4/4with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
4/4over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Hoffenheim come throughOur pickHoffenheim
    1.53
  • Holstein Kiel keep it closeOur pickHolstein Kiel starts 4 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
HOL 25%Draw 21%HOF 54%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–29%
  • 1–19%
  • 0–27%
Projected goals
3.5
Likeliest at half time
0–021%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Holstein Kiel against Hoffenheim
StatHOLHOFTotal
Goals1.362.113.5

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Holstein KielW, D, L, D, L
HoffenheimW, W, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendHOLHOF
Over 2.5 goals1/54/4
Both teams scored1/52/4
Clean sheets2/52/4
Failed to score3/50/4
Head-to-head · last 4
0
HOL wins
0
Draws
4
HOF wins
  • LHoffenheim 3–1 Holstein Kiel2026-07-29 · Club Friendly4 gls
  • LHolstein Kiel 1–3 Hoffenheim2025-01-18 · Bundesliga4 gls
  • LHoffenheim 3–2 Holstein Kiel2024-08-24 · Bundesliga5 gls
  • LHoffenheim 5–1 Holstein Kiel2021-10-26 · DFB-Pokal (2nd round)6 gls
4.8goals per meeting4/4with both teams scoring4/4over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Kiel: first league win of the season 3-0 v Dresden, before that 0-0 Hertha, 0-1 Braunschweig, 1-1 Osnabrück, 0-1 Heidenheim — very low scoring. Hoffenheim: 3-0 v Leverkusen and 3-0 v Lyon, but 2-3 losses to HSV and Besiktas — goals at both ends.
History
All five verifiable meetings since 2021 were won by Hoffenheim, and they have never been close: 5-1 (Oct 2021, DFB-Pokal 2nd round, at Hoffenheim), 3-2 (Aug 2024, Bundesliga MD1, at Hoffenheim), 1-3 (Jan 2025, Bundesliga, at Kiel), plus a 3-1 friendly at Hoffenheim in July 2026. Goal.com's list of the last four (incl. a second 3-1) also shows 0 Kiel wins, 4/4 over 2.5 goals and BTTS in all four. The two league games of 2024/25 were the only competitive, same-division meetings: Hoffenheim finish…
The competition
DFB-Pokal (German Cup) 2026/27, second round — a single-leg knockout tie at Holstein-Stadion (no group stage; extra time and penalties if level). A 2. Bundesliga side hosts a Bundesliga side: Holstein Kiel sit 13th in the second tier, their only win of the season coming 25 Oct (3-0 v Dynamo Dresden), while Hoffenheim are 10th in the Bundesliga after MD7 but have won 3-0 against both Lyon and Leverkusen in the past week. Both are in the round of 32, playing for a round-of-16 place (1-2 Dec).

Team news

Holstein Kiel
  • Lasse Rosenboom — out (def)
  • Frederik Roslyng — out (def)
  • Sebastian Schonlau — out (def)
  • Giorgi Kvilitaia — out (fwd)
  • Kasper Davidsen — out (mid)
  • Taisei Abe — out (mid)
Hoffenheim
  • Albian Hajdari — out (def)
  • Patrick Wimmer — out (fwd)
  • Nathan De Cat — out (mid)
  • Bambase Conte — doubtful (fwd)

German Cup table

German Cup standings
#ClubPLGDPts
13Holstein Kiel9—8
10Hoffenheim7—9

as read when this competition was last scouted.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim prediction?

We project 1–2. Our model gives Holstein Kiel 25%, the draw 21% and Hoffenheim 54%.

What is the best bet for Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim?

Our tip is Full time result · Hoffenheim at 1.53. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim kick off?

Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim kicks off at Wed 19:45 in the German Cup.

Who is out for Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim?

Reported absences: Albian Hajdari (out), Patrick Wimmer (out), Nathan De Cat (out), Bambase Conte (doubtful), Lasse Rosenboom (out), Frederik Roslyng (out), Sebastian Schonlau (out), Giorgi Kvilitaia (out), Kasper Davidsen (out), Taisei Abe (out).

What happened the last time Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim met?

Hoffenheim 3–1 Holstein Kiel (2026-07-29 · Club Friendly). Over their last 4 meetings it is 0 wins for Holstein Kiel, 0 draws and 4 for Hoffenheim.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.