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Portuguese Primeira Liga

Guimaraes vs Maritimo prediction, tips and odds

  • league
  • Guimaraes: high
  • Maritimo: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our prediction

Guimaraes
15th · 5 pts
FormW, L, D, L
Maritimo
11th · 8 pts
FormL, L, D
Our prediction
1–02.3 goals projected
GUI 50%Draw 27%MAR 23%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Guimaraes come throughOur pickGuimaraes
    1.59
  • Maritimo keep it closeOur pickMaritimo starts 3 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
GUI 50%Draw 27%MAR 23%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–014%
  • 1–113%
  • 2–010%
Projected goals
2.3
Likeliest at half time
0–035%
Competition goals a game
2.75
Competition matches over 2.5
55%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Guimaraes against Maritimo
StatGUIMARTotal
Goals1.430.892.3

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
GuimaraesW, L, D, L
MaritimoL, L, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendGUIMAR
Over 2.5 goals0/42/3
Both teams scored0/43/3
Clean sheets2/40/3
Failed to score3/40/3

Match context

Form
Guimarães: 1-0 cup win at Lamelas, then 0-2 at Benfica, 0-0 v Casa Pia, 0-1 at Braga — almost no goals (5 in 8 league games). Marítimo: 1-2 home loss to Porto (HT 1-1), 1-1 at Gil Vicente, 1-3 at Moreirense — losing run but scoring in each.
The competition
Primeira Liga 2026/27 Matchday 9 (league round, single match, no legs) at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Vitória de Guimarães are 15th on 5 points from 8 (GF5/GA10) — just above the relegation zone and badly in need of points; Marítimo are 11th on 8 points from 8 (GF9/GA14). Neither side is anywhere near the European places.

Team news

Guimaraes

No absences reported.

Maritimo

No absences reported.

Portuguese Primeira Liga table and leaders

Portuguese Primeira Liga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Porto8—24
2Benfica8—19
3Sporting CP8—18
4Santa Clara8—18
5Arouca8—14
6Académico de Viseu8—14

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Vangelis PavlidisBenfica8 goals
  2. 2Luis SuárezSporting CP7 goals
  3. 3Gianluca PrestianniBenfica5 goals
  4. 4BarberoArouca5 goals
  5. 5Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara5 goals

Table, avg goals and over-2.5 from SoccerBet Tips/Soccer News (MD8, Oct 2026); leaders cross-checked with soccernews.com and FOX Sports (18 Oct 2026).

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Guimaraes vs Maritimo prediction?

We project 1–0. Our model gives Guimaraes 50%, the draw 27% and Maritimo 23%.

What is the best bet for Guimaraes vs Maritimo?

Our tip is Full time result · Guimaraes at 1.59. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Guimaraes vs Maritimo kick off?

Guimaraes vs Maritimo kicks off at Fri 19:45 in the Portuguese Primeira Liga.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.