Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction, tips and odds
- league
- Hoffenheim: high
- Lyon: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
Our prediction
Patrick Wimmer (out), Albian Hajdari (out), Nathan De Cat (out)
Lois Openda (out), Nicolas Tagliafico (out), Mohamed Ouédraogo (out)
- goals per meeting
- 4.7goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 3/3with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 3/3over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Hoffenheim come throughOur pickHoffenheim · Draw no bet1.74
- Lyon keep it closeOur pickLyon starts 3.5 goals aheadPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 2–19%
- 1–19%
- 2–27%
- Projected goals
- 3.5
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–021%
| Stat | HOF | LYO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 | 1.48 | 3.5 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.6 | 1.42 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 4.68 | 10.9 |
| Fouls | 13.3 | 10.7 | 24.0 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | HOF | LYO |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 5/5 |
| Both teams scored | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| Clean sheets | 0/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 0/5 |
- DHoffenheim 2–2 Lyon2024-11-07 · UEFA Europa League (league phase)4 gls
- DLyon 2–2 Hoffenheim2018-11-07 · UEFA Champions League (group stage)4 gls
- DHoffenheim 3–3 Lyon2018-10-23 · UEFA Champions League (group stage)6 gls
Match context
- Form
- Hoffenheim LLLLW (recent first: 2-1 Gladbach W, 2-3 Beşiktaş, 2-3 Hamburg, 0-2 OFI, 2-3 Dortmund) — scoring in four of five but conceding 2+ every game; Lyon WWLWW (2-1 Nice, 3-2 Palace, 1-2 Lens, 4-0 Rennes, 2-1 Anderlecht), six conceded in last six.
- History
- Only three prior meetings, all European: the 2018-19 Champions League group phase (Hoffenheim 3-3 Lyon in Sinsheim, Lyon 2-2 Hoffenheim at Groupama) and the 2024-25 Europa League league phase (Hoffenheim 2-2 Lyon, HT 0-0). No league meetings, and none before 2018 — so the record is three draws in three, all high-scoring (3, 6 and 4 goals; BTTS in all three), and none has ever been won by either side. On stature, Lyon are the traditionally larger club (seven Ligue 1 titles, regular European camp…
- The competition
- UEFA Europa League 2026/27, league phase (36-team single table), Matchday 3 of 8. Both clubs play in a top-five European league, but their European starts are opposite: Hoffenheim lost MD1 at OFI Crete (0-2) and MD2 at home to Beşiktaş (2-3) and sit 30th on 0 points, under real pressure to get their campaign moving. Lyon won both (2-1 at Anderlecht, 3-2 v Crystal Palace) and sit 8th on 6 points, on course for direct R16 qualification. Domestically Hoffenheim are lower mid-table in the Bundeslig…
Team news
- Patrick Wimmer — out (mid)
- Albian Hajdari — out (def)
- Nathan De Cat — out (mid)
- Lois Openda — out (fwd)
- Nicolas Tagliafico — out (def)
- Mohamed Ouédraogo — out (def)
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lyon | 2 | — | 6 |
| 30 | Hoffenheim | 2 | — | 0 |
as read when this competition was last scouted.
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Frequently asked questions
What is our Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction?
We project 2–1. Our model gives Hoffenheim 51%, the draw 21% and Lyon 28%.
What is the best bet for Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Our tip is Full time result · Hoffenheim at 1.74. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Hoffenheim vs Lyon kick off?
Hoffenheim vs Lyon kicks off at Thu 19:00 in the UEFA Europa League.
Who is out for Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Reported absences: Patrick Wimmer (out), Albian Hajdari (out), Nathan De Cat (out), Lois Openda (out), Nicolas Tagliafico (out), Mohamed Ouédraogo (out).
What happened the last time Hoffenheim vs Lyon met?
Hoffenheim 2–2 Lyon (2024-11-07 · UEFA Europa League (league phase)). Over their last 3 meetings it is 0 wins for Hoffenheim, 3 draws and 0 for Lyon.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.