NEC Nijmegen vs FC Groningen prediction, tips and odds
Eredivisie's 3.84-goals-a-game backdrop meets two leaky defences: Groningen's last five produced 23 goals and NEC are unbeaten in five but drawing everything.
- goals fest
- high ceiling
- both score
- no strong shape
- league
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Dutch Eredivisie
Our prediction
NEC Nijmegen
12th · 10 pts
FormW, D, D, D, D
FC Groningen
7th · 14 pts
FormL, W, W, D, D
Our prediction
2–13.8 goals projected
NEC 46%Draw 21%FC 33%
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
Rating hidden until revealed
- Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals1.14
- Goals before the breakOur pickOver 0.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
Result probability
NEC 46%Draw 21%FC 33%
Likeliest scorelines
- 2–18%
- 1–18%
- 2–27%
- Projected goals
- 3.8
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–018%
- Competition goals a game
- 3.84
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 75%
Projected stats
| Stat | NEC | FC | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 | 1.71 | 3.8 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
Last five
NEC NijmegenW, D, D, D, D
FC GroningenL, W, W, D, D
| Trend | NEC | FC |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| Both teams scored | 5/5 | 4/5 |
| Clean sheets | 0/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 0/5 | 0/5 |
Match context
- Form
- NEC unbeaten in five but four straight draws (incl. 4-2 EL win at Dinamo Zagreb most recently); Groningen W-L-W-D-D, heavy 2-5 home loss to Ajax but 5-1 win at Excelsior.
- The competition
- Dutch Eredivisie (top flight, tier 1), 2026/27 season, Game Week 10 league round at Stadion De Goffert. NEC sit mid-lower table (~12th, 10 pts from 9) while also playing Europa League; Groningen are 7th on 14 pts. Both sides playing for league points/position.
Team news
NEC Nijmegen
No absences reported.
FC Groningen
No absences reported.
Dutch Eredivisie table
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Groningen | 9 | — | 14 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | — | 10 |
as read when this competition was last scouted.
More tips this week
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- PSV vs Feyenoord · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.10
- Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax · Full time result · Ajax1.47
- Az Alkmaar vs FC Twente · Az Alkmaar starts 1 goal ahead1.22
- Monterrey vs Guadalajara · Guadalajara starts 1 goal ahead1.32
- Colorado vs Vancouver Whitecaps · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.28
Frequently asked questions
What is our NEC Nijmegen vs FC Groningen prediction?
We project 2–1. Our model gives NEC Nijmegen 46%, the draw 21% and FC Groningen 33%.
What is the best bet for NEC Nijmegen vs FC Groningen?
Our tip is Full time · Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14.
What time does NEC Nijmegen vs FC Groningen kick off?
NEC Nijmegen vs FC Groningen kicks off at Sun 13:30 in the Dutch Eredivisie.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.