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Dutch Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction, tips and odds

  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Dutch Eredivisie

Our prediction

Sparta Rotterdam
13th · 9 pts
FormW, D, L, L, D
Ajax
4th · 18 pts
FormW, L, D
Our prediction
1–23.7 goals projected
SPA 22%Draw 19%AJA 59%
likeliest half-time score
0–1likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Ajax come throughOur pickAjax
    1.47
  • Sparta Rotterdam keep it closeOur pickSparta Rotterdam starts 4 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
SPA 22%Draw 19%AJA 59%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–29%
  • 1–18%
  • 1–37%
Projected goals
3.7
Likeliest at half time
0–120%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Sparta Rotterdam against Ajax
StatSPAAJATotal
Goals1.42.353.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Sparta RotterdamW, D, L, L, D
AjaxW, L, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendSPAAJA
Over 2.5 goals5/52/3
Both teams scored4/53/3
Clean sheets0/50/3
Failed to score1/50/3

Match context

Form
Sparta: W3-2 v Willem II, D3-3 at Go Ahead, L0-4 v Heerenveen, L1-4 at PSV, D2-2 v PEC — leaky but scoring. Ajax: W5-2 at Groningen, D1-1 v NEC, L1-2 at Hajduk (Europe) — high-scoring, unbeaten away in the league.
The competition
Dutch Eredivisie (Netherlands' top division), 2026/27 season, regular league round (matchweek 10 per Goal/Transfermarkt). Ajax are 4th chasing PSV at the top; Sparta sit 13th with 9 points from 9 games, in the lower-middle/relegation-adjacent pack. No cup or two-legged context.

Team news

Sparta Rotterdam

No absences reported.

Ajax

No absences reported.

Dutch Eredivisie table

Dutch Eredivisie standings
#ClubPLGDPts
4Ajax9—18
13Sparta Rotterdam9—9

as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction?

We project 1–2. Our model gives Sparta Rotterdam 22%, the draw 19% and Ajax 59%.

What is the best bet for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?

Our tip is Full time result · Ajax at 1.47. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax kick off?

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax kicks off at Sun 15:45 in the Dutch Eredivisie.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.