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Polish I Liga

Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow prediction, tips and odds

Five straight clean sheets for table-topping Ruch Chorzów, who visit a Pogoń Siedlce side beaten three times in four league games
  • one sided
  • cagey
  • high stakes
  • slow start
  • league
  • Pogon Siedlce: normal
  • Ruch Chorzow: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Polish I Liga

Our prediction

Pogon Siedlce
11th · 45 pts
FormL, W, L, L, L
Ruch Chorzow
7th · 53 pts
FormW, W, W, W, D
Our prediction
1–12.8 goals projected
POG 21%Draw 26%RUC 53%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Ruch Chorzow come throughOur pickRuch Chorzow
    1.83
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
POG 21%Draw 26%RUC 53%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 0–111%
  • 1–210%
Projected goals
2.8
Likeliest at half time
0–028%
Competition goals a game
3.21
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Pogon Siedlce against Ruch Chorzow
StatPOGRUCTotal
GoalsLeague 1.491.051.752.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Pogon SiedlceL, W, L, L, L
Ruch ChorzowW, W, W, W, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendPOGRUC
Over 2.5 goals3/51/5
Both teams scored3/50/5
Clean sheets1/55/5
Failed to score1/51/5

Match context

Form
Ruch in strong form: four straight wins and five consecutive clean sheets (0-0, 2-0, 3-0, 2-0 league, 1-0 cup). Pogoń Siedlce struggling: one win in five (1-0 at Odra Opole), with 3-4 and 1-3 home defeats and a 2-4 cup exit at Tychy.
The competition
Betclic I liga (Poland's 2nd tier), matchday 13 of 34 — an ordinary league round, no knockout legs. Ruch Chorzów were top of the table going into this round (21 pts from 12, ahead of the season's pre-round table where they were 7th) and are pushing for promotion back to the Ekstraklasa; Pogoń Siedlce sit mid-lower (12 pts from 12) and are playing for safety and mid-table respectability. Both came off Polish Cup ties on 28 Oct (Ruch won 1-0 at Znicz Pruszków, Pogoń lost 2-4 at GKS Tychy).

Team news

Pogon Siedlce

No absences reported.

Ruch Chorzow

No absences reported.

Polish I Liga table and leaders

Polish I Liga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Wisła Kraków34—71
2Śląsk Wrocław34—62
3Wieczysta Kraków34—57
4Chrobry Głogów34—55
5ŁKS Łódź34—54
6Polonia Warszawa34—53

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Ángel RodadoWisła Kraków21 goals
  2. 2Łukasz ZjawińskiPolonia Warszawa20 goals
  3. 3Przemysław BanaszakŚląsk Wrocław16 goals
  4. 4Stefan FeiertagWieczysta Kraków14 goals
  5. 5Fabian PiaseckiŁKS Łódź14 goals

Scorers: TVP Sport final 2025/26 list (24 May 2026) and worldfootball.net topscorer table; assist/clean-sheet tables not reached

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Pogon Siedlce 21%, the draw 26% and Ruch Chorzow 53%.

What is the best bet for Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow?

Our tip is Full time result · Ruch Chorzow at 1.83. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow kick off?

Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow kicks off at Tue 17:00 in the Polish I Liga.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.