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Spanish Copa del Rey

Prat vs Athletic Bilbao prediction, tips and odds

Sixth-tier Prat host La Liga Athletic in the Copa del Rey first round, with Athletic missing key striker Guruzeta and Sancet before the Basque derby.
  • one sided
  • weakened side
  • high stakes
  • goals fest
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Prat: high
  • Athletic Bilbao: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

Prat
FormW, W, W, W
Athletic Bilbao
FormW, L, D, W, W

Gorka Guruzeta (out), Oihan Sancet (out), Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (out), Unai Egiluz (out), Álvaro Djaló (doubtful)

Our prediction
0–23.7 goals projected
PRA 8%Draw 13%ATH 79%
likeliest half-time score
0–1likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Athletic Bilbao come throughOur pickAthletic Bilbao
    1.07
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
PRA 8%Draw 13%ATH 79%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 0–210%
  • 0–310%
  • 1–28%
Projected goals
3.7
Likeliest at half time
0–124%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Prat against Athletic Bilbao
StatPRAATHTotal
Goals0.852.93.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
PratW, W, W, W
Athletic BilbaoW, L, D, W, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendPRAATH
Over 2.5 goals3/43/5
Both teams scored1/41/5
Clean sheets3/44/5
Failed to score0/41/5

Match context

Form
Athletic: W (4-0 Getafe), L (1-3 Levante), D (0-0 Valencia), plus 3-0 win over Atlético and 2-0 win at Celta earlier — mixed but scoring in spurts. Prat: 5-0 cup win over CF San Rafael (10-1 agg), 0-2 win at Rubí in Lliga Elit, 3-0 over Singuerlin; lower-tier and far more goals…
History
No meaningful history: AE Prat (founded 1945, El Prat de Llobregat, ~500-capacity Estadi Sagnier) and Athletic Club have never met competitively. FootyStats states the two clubs have no previous head-to-head data and "have never met before"; Tribuna's H2H page lists no past meetings. This is a first-ever meeting, a Copa del Rey first round at a ground roughly three divisions (Lliga Elit ~ tier 5) below Athletic's La Liga level, so any read must come from stature/level, not H2H.
The competition
Copa del Rey 2026-27, first round (125th edition): 56 single-leg ties, 27-29 Oct 2026, lower-division club hosts, extra time and penalties decide a draw after 90 minutes. Prat (Lliga Elit, Catalan 6th tier) host Athletic Club (La Liga, 8th with 12 pts from 9 games) at Estadio Municipal de L'Hospitalet. Athletic are the big favourite; a giant-killing or a routine away win both advance, nothing league-related at stake for either beyond progression and Athletic rotation around a 1 Nov Basque derby…

Team news

Prat

No absences reported.

Athletic Bilbao
  • Gorka Guruzeta — out (fwd)
  • Oihan Sancet — out (mid)
  • Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta — out (mid)
  • Unai Egiluz — out (def)
  • Álvaro Djaló — doubtful (fwd)

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Prat vs Athletic Bilbao prediction?

We project 0–2. Our model gives Prat 8%, the draw 13% and Athletic Bilbao 79%.

What is the best bet for Prat vs Athletic Bilbao?

Our tip is Full time result · Athletic Bilbao at 1.07.

What time does Prat vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?

Prat vs Athletic Bilbao kicks off at Thu 20:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for Prat vs Athletic Bilbao?

Reported absences: Gorka Guruzeta (out), Oihan Sancet (out), Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (out), Unai Egiluz (out), Álvaro Djaló (doubtful).

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.