Skip to content
sugardice
Italian Serie A

Roma vs Cagliari prediction, tips and odds

Unbeaten Roma, third and three points off the top, host a Cagliari side that has lost its last two without scoring — with Svilar out and Malen leading the line.
  • goals fest
  • one sided
  • high stakes
  • weakened side
  • high ceiling
  • league
  • Roma: high
  • Cagliari: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Italian Serie A

Our prediction

Roma
3rd · 18 pts
FormD, W, W, L, D

Mile Svilar (out), Manu Koné (out), Lorenzo Pellegrini (out), Paulo Dybala (doubtful), Muhammed Bah (out)

Cagliari
9th · 13 pts
FormL, L, D, W, W

Mattia Felici (out), Riyad Idrissi (out), Yael Trepy (doubtful)

Our prediction
2–03.2 goals projected
ROM 72%Draw 17%CAG 11%
goals per meeting
2.2goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
1/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
2/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
1–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Roma come throughOur pickRoma
    1.36
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
ROM 72%Draw 17%CAG 11%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 2–012%
  • 1–010%
  • 2–19%
Projected goals
3.2
Likeliest at half time
1–025%
Competition goals a game
3.01
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Roma against Cagliari
StatROMCAGTotal
Goals2.380.813.2
Expected goals (xG)1.651.132.8
Corners5.243.859.1
Fouls10.69.7920.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
RomaD, W, W, L, D
CagliariL, L, D, W, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendROMCAG
Over 2.5 goals3/52/5
Both teams scored2/52/5
Clean sheets3/51/5
Failed to score1/52/5
Head-to-head · last 6
4
ROM wins
1
Draws
1
CAG wins
  • WRoma 2–0 Cagliari2026-02-09 · Serie A2 gls
  • LCagliari 1–0 Roma2025-12-07 · Serie A1 gls
  • WRoma 1–0 Cagliari2025-03-16 · Serie A1 gls
  • DCagliari 0–0 Roma2024-08-18 · Serie A0 gls
  • WRoma 4–0 Cagliari2024-02-05 · Serie A4 gls
2.2goals per meeting1/6with both teams scoring2/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Roma unbeaten in Serie A (5W 3D), 19 GF/6 GA in 8: DWDWD league run incl. 3-3 at Napoli, 2-0 v Genoa, 0-0 at Como, 2-2 v Inter, 2-0 at Torino; beat Slavia 4-0 but lost 3-4 to Real Madrid. Cagliari LL DWW: 0-2 v Bologna, 0-4 at Monza, 1-1 v Juventus, 1-0 at Udinese, 2-1 at Atalan…
History
Recent Serie A meetings are all Roma-dominated in results but tight in scorelines: Roma won 2-0 at the Olimpico (Feb 2026, HT 1-0) and 1-0 (Mar 2025), while Cagliari won the Dec 2025 fixture 1-0 at the Unipol Domus (HT 0-0); another 0-0 draw came in Aug 2024 in Cagliari and Roma won 4-0 at home (Feb 2024) and 4-1 away (Oct 2023). Roma have won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draw, 2 Cagliari wins); Cagliari have not scored in their last four away league games at Roma. Stature: Roma are a top-three…
The competition
Italian Serie A 2026-27 (20-club national top flight, 1st tier), Matchday 9, ordinary league round at the Olimpico. Roma are unbeaten and 3rd: 18 pts from 8 (5W 3D 0L, 19 GF 6 GA) — three points off leaders Inter/Lazio (22) — so this is a must-win in the early title chase. Cagliari sit 9th on 13 pts from 8 (4W 1D 3L, 6 GF 9 GA), a surprise top-half side chasing a strong finish; they are winless in their last two (0-4 at Monza, 0-2 v Bologna). Roma played Sat 24 Oct at Napoli (3-3) and also had…

Team news

Roma
  • Mile Svilar — out (gk)
  • Manu Koné — out (mid)
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini — out (mid)
  • Paulo Dybala — doubtful (fwd)
  • Muhammed Bah — out (unknown)
Cagliari
  • Mattia Felici — out (unknown)
  • Riyad Idrissi — out (unknown)
  • Yael Trepy — doubtful (unknown)

Italian Serie A table

Italian Serie A standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Lazio8—22
2Inter8—22
3Roma8—18
4AC Milan8—18
5Como8—17
6Frosinone8—14

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Roma vs Cagliari prediction?

We project 2–0. Our model gives Roma 72%, the draw 17% and Cagliari 11%.

What is the best bet for Roma vs Cagliari?

Our tip is Full time result · Roma at 1.36. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Roma vs Cagliari kick off?

Roma vs Cagliari kicks off at Tue 19:45 in the Italian Serie A.

Who is out for Roma vs Cagliari?

Reported absences: Mile Svilar (out), Manu Koné (out), Lorenzo Pellegrini (out), Paulo Dybala (doubtful), Muhammed Bah (out), Mattia Felici (out), Riyad Idrissi (out), Yael Trepy (doubtful).

What happened the last time Roma vs Cagliari met?

Roma 2–0 Cagliari (2026-02-09 · Serie A). Over their last 6 meetings it is 4 wins for Roma, 1 draw and 1 for Cagliari.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.