RS Gimnastica vs UD Ourense prediction, tips and odds
Ourense, winless in nine with three league goals and a coach sacked on the eve of the tie, travel to El Malecón for a single-leg Copa first round in which both clubs are in crisis.
- low scoring
- slow start
- cagey
- high stakes
- cup
- Leg single
- RS Gimnastica: high
- UD Ourense: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Spanish Copa del Rey
Our prediction
RS Gimnastica
9th · 10 pts
FormL, D, D, D, D
UD Ourense
7th · 13 pts
FormL, L, W, D, L
Rufo (out), Viti (out), Julio Cabrera (out), Diego Tejón (out), Cristian (out)
Our prediction
1–12.4 goals projected
RS 42%Draw 27%UD 31%
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
Rating hidden until revealed
- RS Gimnastica keep it closeOur pickRS Gimnastica starts 2.5 goals ahead1.06
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 3.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
Result probability
RS 42%Draw 27%UD 31%
Likeliest scorelines
- 1–113%
- 1–012%
- 0–110%
- Projected goals
- 2.4
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–034%
Projected stats
| Stat | RS | UD | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 | 1.1 | 2.4 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
Last five
RS GimnasticaL, D, D, D, D
UD OurenseL, L, W, D, L
| Trend | RS | UD |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| Both teams scored | 4/5 | 1/5 |
| Clean sheets | 0/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 3/5 |
Match context
- Form
- Gimnástica Segoviana DDDDL — four straight 1-1/3-3 league draws then a 0-1 home Copa loss to Cultural Leonesa (HT 0-1), 13 conceded in 8 league games; UD Ourense LWDDL, only 3 goals in 9 league games, beaten 0-2 (HT 0-1) and 0-3 on their last two away trips.
- History
- No verifiable prior competitive meeting between RS Gimnástica de Torrelavega and UD Ourense was found (AiScore's H2H page lists no played meetings; the only "Ourense" fixture on record is a 25 Oct 2026 Segunda Federación 3-0 win for a DIFFERENT club, city rivals Ourense CF, over Gimnástica). Treat as effectively no meaningful recent head-to-head. On stature they are not equals but the gap is one division: UD Ourense were promoted to Primera Federación (tier 3) in May 2026 but sit 19th with 5 pt…
- The competition
- Spanish Copa del Rey 2026-27, single-leg first round (eliminatoria previa), one match, extra time and penalties if level — a cup knockout, not a league round. Both clubs are lower-division: RS Gimnástica (Gimnástica Segoviana) sit 9th in Segunda Federación Group 5 (Spain's 4th tier), UD Ourense are 19th of 20 in Primera Federación Group 1 (3rd tier) and winless in 9 with 3 goals scored. The winner advances; there is no second leg, so it is a real target for both. Note the "RS" prefix here is Gi…
Team news
RS Gimnastica
No absences reported.
UD Ourense
- Rufo — out (unknown)
- Viti — out (unknown)
- Julio Cabrera — out (def)
- Diego Tejón — out (unknown)
- Cristian — out (unknown)
Spanish Copa del Rey table
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestao River (Segunda Fed. Grp 1) | 8 | — | 19 |
| 2 | Alavés B (Segunda Fed. Grp 1) | 8 | — | 17 |
| 3 | Bergantiños (Segunda Fed. Grp 1) | 8 | — | 17 |
| 4 | Eibar B (Segunda Fed. Grp 1) | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | Compostela (Segunda Fed. Grp 1) | 8 | — | 13 |
| 6 | Amorebieta (Segunda Fed. Grp 1) | 8 | — | 13 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
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Frequently asked questions
What is our RS Gimnastica vs UD Ourense prediction?
We project 1–1. Our model gives RS Gimnastica 42%, the draw 27% and UD Ourense 31%.
What is the best bet for RS Gimnastica vs UD Ourense?
Our tip is RS Gimnastica starts 2.5 goals ahead at 1.06.
What time does RS Gimnastica vs UD Ourense kick off?
RS Gimnastica vs UD Ourense kicks off at Thu 19:30 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.
Who is out for RS Gimnastica vs UD Ourense?
Reported absences: Rufo (out), Viti (out), Julio Cabrera (out), Diego Tejón (out), Cristian (out).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.