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French Ligue 1

Brest vs Nice prediction, tips and odds

Brest, unbeaten in three and 13-goal strong, host a Nice side still without an away win — and both teams arrive with their defensive anchor missing
  • goals fest
  • both score
  • weakened side
  • no strong shape
  • league
  • Brest: normal
  • Nice: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
French Ligue 1

Our prediction

Brest
10th · 9 pts
FormD, W, L, L, W

Brendan Chardonnet (out), Raphaël Le Guen (out), Giovani Versini (out), Mama Baldé (doubtful)

Nice
FormL, W, W, D

Moïse Bombito (out), Antoine Mendy (out), Laurent Abergel (out), Morgan Sanson (out), Ali Abdi (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–13.2 goals projected
BRE 48%Draw 23%NIC 29%
goals per meeting
2.7goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
2/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
3/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals
    1.25
  • Nice come throughOur pickDraw or Away
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
BRE 48%Draw 23%NIC 29%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–110%
  • 2–19%
  • 1–07%
Projected goals
3.2
Likeliest at half time
0–023%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Brest against Nice
StatBRENICTotal
Goals1.841.43.2
Corners4.634.89.4
Fouls11.210.922.1

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
BrestD, W, L, L, W
NiceL, W, W, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendBRENIC
Over 2.5 goals3/53/4
Both teams scored4/54/4
Clean sheets0/50/4
Failed to score1/50/4
Head-to-head · last 6
1
BRE wins
3
Draws
2
NIC wins
  • DNice 2–2 Brest2026-02-01 · Ligue 14 gls
  • WBrest 4–1 Nice2025-09-20 · Ligue 15 gls
  • LNice 6–0 Brest2025-05-17 · Ligue 16 gls
  • LBrest 0–1 Nice2024-11-02 · Ligue 11 gls
  • DBrest 0–0 Nice2024-02-04 · Ligue 10 gls
2.7goals per meeting2/6with both teams scoring3/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Brest W L L W D — thrashed Angers 5-1 (4-0 at HT), edged out by PSG and Auxerre, then drew 1-1 at Lille; scoring freely at home. Nice W W L plus a 1-1 with Le Mans — home 2-1 wins over Lille and Strasbourg, a 2-1 loss at Lyon, no away win this season.
History
All six recent meetings are Ligue 1, and none is decisive: Nice 2-2 Brest (Feb 2026, HT 0-2), Brest 4-1 Nice (Sep 2025, HT 2-1), Nice 6-0 Brest (May 2025, HT 3-0), Brest 0-1 Nice (Nov 2024, HT 0-0), Brest 0-0 Nice (Feb 2024, HT 0-0), Nice 0-0 Brest (Oct 2023, HT 0-0). Recent form in this fixture is wild — three games of 4, 6 and 4 goals mixed with 0-0s — and Nice edge the record overall (about 9 wins to Brest's 5 in 22). Stature-wise they are near-equals: mid-table Ligue 1 sides, Brest 10th (9…
The competition
French Ligue 1 (Ligue 1 McDonald's), 2026-27 season — an 18-club national top flight, 34 rounds; top three to the Champions League, bottom two relegated with a 16th-place play-off. This is an ordinary league round (matchday 8 of 34). Brest sit 10th on 9 pts from 7 games and are unbeaten in their last three (5-1 v Angers, 1-1 at Lille). Nice are lower — 2 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats from 7, no away win this season, coming off a 2-1 defeat at Lyon. Both are chasing the congested European/comfortable…

Team news

Brest
  • Brendan Chardonnet — out (def)
  • Raphaël Le Guen — out (def)
  • Giovani Versini — out (fwd)
  • Mama Baldé — doubtful (fwd)
Nice
  • Moïse Bombito — out (def)
  • Antoine Mendy — out (def)
  • Laurent Abergel — out (mid)
  • Morgan Sanson — out (mid)
  • Ali Abdi — doubtful (def)

French Ligue 1 table

French Ligue 1 standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Lyon7—14
10Brest7—9
18Le Havre7—2

as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Brest vs Nice prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Brest 48%, the draw 23% and Nice 29%.

What is the best bet for Brest vs Nice?

Our tip is Full time · Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25.

What time does Brest vs Nice kick off?

Brest vs Nice kicks off at Fri 18:45 in the French Ligue 1.

Who is out for Brest vs Nice?

Reported absences: Brendan Chardonnet (out), Raphaël Le Guen (out), Giovani Versini (out), Mama Baldé (doubtful), Moïse Bombito (out), Antoine Mendy (out), Laurent Abergel (out), Morgan Sanson (out), Ali Abdi (doubtful).

What happened the last time Brest vs Nice met?

Nice 2–2 Brest (2026-02-01 · Ligue 1). Over their last 6 meetings it is 1 wins for Brest, 3 draws and 2 for Nice.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.