FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction, tips and odds
- goals fest
- both score
- high ceiling
- high stakes
- weakened side
- league
- FC Dallas: high
- San Jose Earthquakes: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- US MLS
Our prediction
Sam Sarver (out), Logan Farrington (out), Kaka Scabin (out), Anderson Julio (out)
Preston Judd (out), Timo Werner (doubtful), Niko Tsakiris (doubtful), Jonathan Gonzalez (doubtful), Benji Kikanovic (out), DeJuan Jones (out)
- goals per meeting
- 5.0goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 6/6with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 6/6over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- FC Dallas come throughOur pickFC Dallas1.90
- FC Dallas avoid defeatOur pickFC Dallas starts 1.5 goals aheadPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 2–07%
- Projected goals
- 3.3
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–022%
- Competition goals a game
- 3.25
| Stat | FC | SAN | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 | 1.29 | 3.3 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.39 | 1.63 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 5.24 | 6.15 | 11.4 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | FC | SAN |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Both teams scored | 2/4 | 4/4 |
| Clean sheets | 2/4 | 0/4 |
| Failed to score | 0/4 | 0/4 |
- WSan Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas2026-05-16 · MLS Regular Season5 gls
- WFC Dallas 5–2 San Jose Earthquakes2025 · MLS Regular Season7 gls
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2–2 FC Dallas2025-07-16 · MLS Regular Season4 gls
- LFC Dallas 2–4 San Jose Earthquakes2025-06-26 · MLS Regular Season6 gls
- LSan Jose Earthquakes 3–2 FC Dallas2024-10-02 · MLS Regular Season5 gls
Match context
- Form
- FC Dallas W-W-L-W-D in last five listed (1-0 over Seattle, 1-0 over LAFC, 3-2 loss at Charlotte, 2-2 at Houston, RSL 4-3 win earlier); San Jose unbeaten streak of nine: D at Colorado 1-1, W 3-1 over Portland, D 1-1 at Austin, and a 1-1 home draw with Nashville — only one of thei…
- History
- These are long-standing MLS Western Conference rivals with near-equal overall history (FC Dallas 22W-23D-31L all-time vs San Jose per FCD, May 2026). Recent league meetings have been close and high-scoring: FCD won 3-2 at PayPal Park in May 2026 (Sarver 90+3'), and the sides drew 2-2 in San Jose in July 2025; Dallas thrashed SJ 5-2 at home in 2025. San Jose beat Dallas 3-2 at home in Oct 2024, Dallas won 2-1 at home in Feb 2024. Home form has mattered historically (Dallas had not won at San Jos…
- The competition
- MLS 2026 regular season (USA/Canada top flight, 30 teams in two conferences), an ordinary late-season league round — the penultimate-ish matchday of the 34-game regular season (through Oct 23 both sides had played 30). FC Dallas sit 2nd in the Western Conference on 51 pts (14-9-7), 4 pts behind leaders Vancouver, already clinched (x) and chasing top seed/home advantage in the playoffs. San Jose are 5th on 48 pts (13-9-8), having clinched a playoff spot for the first time since 2023 on Oct 17 an…
Team news
- Sam Sarver — out (fwd)
- Logan Farrington — out (fwd)
- Kaka Scabin — out (mid)
- Anderson Julio — out (fwd)
- Preston Judd — out (fwd)
- Timo Werner — doubtful (fwd)
- Niko Tsakiris — doubtful (mid)
- Jonathan Gonzalez — doubtful (mid)
- Benji Kikanovic — out (fwd)
- DeJuan Jones — out (def)
US MLS table
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 30 | — | 55 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 30 | — | 51 |
| 3 | St. Louis CITY SC | 30 | — | 51 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | — | 48 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo FC | 30 | — | 47 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | 30 | — | 46 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
More tips this week
- Colorado vs Vancouver Whitecaps · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.28
- Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City SC · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.11
- San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders · Half time · Under 2.5 Goals1.25
- Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC · Half time · Under 2.5 Goals1.26
- Monterrey vs Guadalajara · Guadalajara starts 1 goal ahead1.32
- Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners · Full time result · Wellington Phoenix1.77
Frequently asked questions
What is our FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction?
We project 2–1. Our model gives FC Dallas 55%, the draw 21% and San Jose Earthquakes 24%.
What is the best bet for FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our tip is Full time result · FC Dallas at 1.90. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes kicks off at Sun 00:30 in the US MLS.
Who is out for FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Reported absences: Preston Judd (out), Sam Sarver (out), Logan Farrington (out), Kaka Scabin (out), Anderson Julio (out), Timo Werner (doubtful), Niko Tsakiris (doubtful), Jonathan Gonzalez (doubtful), Benji Kikanovic (out), DeJuan Jones (out).
What happened the last time FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes met?
San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas (2026-05-16 · MLS Regular Season). Over their last 6 meetings it is 3 wins for FC Dallas, 1 draw and 2 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.