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Italian Serie A

Genoa vs Juventus prediction, tips and odds

Genoa, 16th and scoring under a goal a game, host a Juventus side unbeaten in five league meetings but stripped of Yildiz and a ward of injured regulars
  • low scoring
  • slow start
  • one sided
  • weakened side
  • high stakes
  • league
  • Genoa: high
  • Juventus: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Italian Serie A

Our prediction

Genoa
16th · 41 pts
FormW, L, W, L, D

Djibril Sow (out), Wiafe (out), Ehizibue (doubtful)

Juventus
6th · 69 pts
FormW, L, D, W, L

Kenan Yildiz (out), Khephren Thuram (out), Manuel Locatelli (out), Kamil Grabara (out), Francisco Conceicao (out), Zeki Celik (out), Nico Gonzalez (out)

Our prediction
0–12.1 goals projected
GEN 30%Draw 30%JUV 40%
goals per meeting
1.8goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
0/4with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
1/4over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Juventus come throughOur pickJuventus
    1.80
  • Genoa keep it closeOur pickGenoa starts 2 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
GEN 30%Draw 30%JUV 40%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 0–114%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–012%
Projected goals
2.1
Likeliest at half time
0–039%
Competition goals a game
2.43
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Genoa against Juventus
StatGENJUVTotal
GoalsLeague 1.210.961.152.1
Expected goals (xG)League 1.31.261.492.8
Shots10.714.625.4
Corners4.265.910.2
Fouls10.711.422.1

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
GenoaW, L, W, L, D
JuventusW, L, D, W, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendGENJUV
Over 2.5 goals2/52/5
Both teams scored3/52/5
Clean sheets1/52/5
Failed to score1/51/5
Head-to-head · last 4
0
GEN wins
0
Draws
4
JUV wins
  • LJuventus 2–0 Genoa2026-04-06 · Serie A2 gls
  • LGenoa 0–1 Juventus2025-08-31 · Serie A1 gls
  • LJuventus 1–0 Genoa2025-03-29 · Serie A1 gls
  • LGenoa 0–3 Juventus2024-09-28 · Serie A3 gls
1.8goals per meeting0/4with both teams scoring1/4over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Genoa W L W L D (1-0 Venezia, 0-2 Roma, 2-1 Fiorentina, 1-2 Parma, 1-1 Frosinone) — low-scoring, 6 GF/13 GA in 8 league games; Juventus W L D W L (0-2 Lecce, 0-3 Lazio, 1-1 Cagliari, 2-0 Atalanta, 2-3 Sassuolo) — erratic with defensive lapses.
History
Recent Serie A meetings are one-sided: Juventus have won the last five league meetings — Genoa 0-1 Juve (Aug 2025), Juve 1-0 Genoa (Mar 2025), Genoa 0-3 Juve (Sep 2024), Juve 2-0 Genoa (Apr 2026) — with Genoa's last league win over Juve a 2-1 in 2021/22 and a 1-1 draw at Marassi in 2023/24. Four of the last five were decided by a single goal or a Juve clean sheet; the games are low-scoring and Juve dominant. Stature: Juventus are the far bigger club and clear favourites; Genoa are a mid/lower-t…
The competition
Serie A 2026-27, Italy's top flight, Matchday 9 — an ordinary midweek league round (Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 CET) at Luigi Ferraris, not a cup leg. Early-season table on file is the completed 2025-26 campaign; in this 2026-27 season both sides are mid-table and inconsistent. Juventus, under Spalletti, sit around 7th–9th (11 pts after 7, then 14 after beating Lecce 0-2 on MD8) and are chasing a top-four/title-race foothold after a 0-3 home loss to Lazio. Genoa, under De Rossi, are ~16th with 7 pts from…

Team news

Genoa
  • Djibril Sow — out (mid)
  • Wiafe — out (mid)
  • Ehizibue — doubtful (def)
Juventus
  • Kenan Yildiz — out (fwd)
  • Khephren Thuram — out (mid)
  • Manuel Locatelli — out (mid)
  • Kamil Grabara — out (gk)
  • Francisco Conceicao — out (fwd)
  • Zeki Celik — out (def)
  • Nico Gonzalez — out (fwd)

Italian Serie A table and leaders

Italian Serie A standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Inter38—87
2Napoli38—76
3Roma38—73
4Como38—71
5Milan38—70
6Juventus38—69

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Lautaro MartínezInter17 goals
  2. 2Anastasios DouvikasComo14 goals
  3. 3Doyell MalenRoma14 goals
  4. 4Marcus ThuramInter13 goals
  5. 5Nico PazComo12 goals

Scorers: matchcalendar/FBref final 2025-26 list; assists: FBref season summary; clean sheets: FBref/StatMuse 2025-26 keeper table.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Genoa vs Juventus prediction?

We project 0–1. Our model gives Genoa 30%, the draw 30% and Juventus 40%.

What is the best bet for Genoa vs Juventus?

Our tip is Full time result · Juventus at 1.80. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Genoa vs Juventus kick off?

Genoa vs Juventus kicks off at Wed 19:45 in the Italian Serie A.

Who is out for Genoa vs Juventus?

Reported absences: Kenan Yildiz (out), Khephren Thuram (out), Manuel Locatelli (out), Kamil Grabara (out), Francisco Conceicao (out), Zeki Celik (out), Nico Gonzalez (out), Djibril Sow (out), Wiafe (out), Ehizibue (doubtful).

What happened the last time Genoa vs Juventus met?

Juventus 2–0 Genoa (2026-04-06 · Serie A). Over their last 4 meetings it is 0 wins for Genoa, 0 draws and 4 for Juventus.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.