Parma vs Udinese prediction, tips and odds
- low scoring
- cagey
- high stakes
- even match
- weakened side
- league
- Parma: must win
- Udinese: must win
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Italian Serie A
Our prediction
Nesta Elphege (out), Lautaro Valenti (out), Pontus Almqvist (doubtful), Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (doubtful)
Oumar Solet (out), David Alaba (out), Alessandro Zanoli (out), Vakoun Bayo (out), Idrissa Gueye (out)
- goals per meeting
- 3.0goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 3/6with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 3/6over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Parma keep it closeOur pickParma starts 1 goal ahead1.21
- Parma come throughOur pickHome or DrawPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
- 1–113%
- 1–012%
- 0–110%
- Projected goals
- 2.4
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–034%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.43
| Stat | PAR | UDI | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.21 | 1.26 | 1.13 | 2.4 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.3 | 1.34 | 1.32 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 4.86 | 4.76 | 9.6 |
| Fouls | 9.76 | 10.6 | 20.4 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | PAR | UDI |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| Clean sheets | 0/5 | 0/5 |
| Failed to score | 2/5 | 3/5 |
- WUdinese 0–1 Parma2026-04-18 · Italian Serie A1 gls
- LParma 0–2 Udinese2025-11-29 · Italian Serie A2 gls
- LUdinese 1–0 Parma2025-03-01 · Italian Serie A1 gls
- LParma 2–3 Udinese2024-09-16 · Italian Serie A5 gls
- DParma 2–2 Udinese2021-02-21 · Italian Serie A4 gls
Match context
- Form
- Parma LLLWD: 0-3 home to Torino, 0-3 at Inter, 2-1 home win over Genoa, 1-1 with Monza — scored in just 2 of 5. Udinese WLLDL... more precisely 3-2 win at Monza, then four straight losses: 0-1 Cagliari, 1-2 Torino, 0-3 Lecce, 0-2 Milan — scoreless in three of four.
- History
- Near-equals in stature, both struggling badly in 2026-27 (Parma 19th, Udinese 17th, 4 pts each at kickoff). Recent league meetings: Parma 0-2 Udinese (29 Nov 2025, Tardini, HT 0-1); Udinese 0-1 Parma (18 Apr 2026, Udine, HT 0-0); Udinese 1-0 Parma (1 Mar 2025); Parma 2-3 Udinese (16 Sep 2024, Tardini, HT 2-0). Udinese won 4 of last 6 before April 2026 per their club preview; meetings are overwhelmingly tight and low-scoring (five of the last six decided by one goal or fewer, four under 2.5). Se…
- The competition
- Italian Serie A 2026-27 (Italy's top flight, 20 clubs, grade 1) — ordinary league round, Matchweek 9, played Wed 28 Oct 2026 at the Tardini. Both sides are in the bottom half in the current 2026-27 table: Parma are 19th with 4 points from 8 (1W 1D 6L, GF5/GA15) and just lost 0-3 at home to Torino under new coach Gilardino, so they are in early-season survival mode and under real pressure; Udinese sit mid/lower-table on 4 pts after 7 games (1W 1D 5L per ESPN) having lost 0-3 at home to Lecce and…
Team news
- Nesta Elphege — out (fwd)
- Lautaro Valenti — out (def)
- Pontus Almqvist — doubtful (fwd)
- Hans Nicolussi Caviglia — doubtful (mid)
- Oumar Solet — out (def)
- David Alaba — out (def)
- Alessandro Zanoli — out (def)
- Vakoun Bayo — out (fwd)
- Idrissa Gueye — out (fwd)
Italian Serie A table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 38 | — | 87 |
| 2 | Napoli | 38 | — | 76 |
| 3 | Roma | 38 | — | 73 |
| 4 | Como | 38 | — | 71 |
| 5 | Milan | 38 | — | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus | 38 | — | 69 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Lautaro MartínezInter17 goals
- 2Anastasios DouvikasComo14 goals
- 3Doyell MalenRoma14 goals
- 4Marcus ThuramInter13 goals
- 5Nico PazComo12 goals
- 1Federico DimarcoInter16 assists
- 1Jean ButezComo19 clean sheets
- 2Mile SvilarRoma18 clean sheets
Scorers: matchcalendar/FBref final 2025-26 list; assists: FBref season summary; clean sheets: FBref/StatMuse 2025-26 keeper table.
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Frequently asked questions
What is our Parma vs Udinese prediction?
We project 1–1. Our model gives Parma 39%, the draw 28% and Udinese 33%.
What is the best bet for Parma vs Udinese?
Our tip is Parma starts 1 goal ahead at 1.21.
What time does Parma vs Udinese kick off?
Parma vs Udinese kicks off at Wed 17:30 in the Italian Serie A.
Who is out for Parma vs Udinese?
Reported absences: Nesta Elphege (out), Lautaro Valenti (out), Pontus Almqvist (doubtful), Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (doubtful), Oumar Solet (out), David Alaba (out), Alessandro Zanoli (out), Vakoun Bayo (out), Idrissa Gueye (out).
What happened the last time Parma vs Udinese met?
Udinese 0–1 Parma (2026-04-18 · Italian Serie A). Over their last 6 meetings it is 1 wins for Parma, 1 draw and 4 for Udinese.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.